TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe73d…cbf8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.94
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$36.43
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.75
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.23
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$103.92
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$47.25
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$25.04
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.79
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$110.07
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$131.26
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$397.33
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$288.21
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+82.2%+$153.95
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$172.01
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$28.68
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$85.62
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$56.35
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+91.1%+$167.29
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.24
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.64
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$58.67
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.57
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94.64
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
First Round Pool B: Italy vs. Great Britainbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Mexicobacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cubabacked Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$115.53
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.42
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$98.03
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$64.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+81.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$99.19
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.54
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$197.21
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$59.49
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$9.15
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+602%+$119.93
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$56.9
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.9%+$43.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$42.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.