NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf660a8cfda16b34b4df27b6c1590ae01c63418a306c57e63d11ead9bb25d35f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,435,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,483,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,435,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 47c | 676,392$317,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317,562.91 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Rockets | 53c | 300,000$159,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,000 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 51c | 279,495$143,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,142.3 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Thunder | 47c | 150,000$70,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,344.92 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 53c | 148,614$78,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,848.78 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Thunder | 51c | 125,000$63,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,650 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Thunder | 48c | 106,895$50,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,809.62 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 53c | 64,237$34,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,106.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 53c | 49,274$26,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,210.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rockets | 53c | 45,000$23,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,150 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Rockets | 54c | 37,000$19,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,020 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 53c | 29,879$15,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,043.13 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder | 47c | 26,340$12,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,379.8 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 52c | 13,487$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,531.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…a83abacked Thunder | 43c | 11,816$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 53c | 11,542$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…9484backed Rockets | 57c | 11,473$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Rockets | 53c | 11,132$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.08 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Rockets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Thunder | 47c | 8,566$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…cf80backed Thunder | 44c | 8,428$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 53c | 8,179$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.93 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…bd4dbacked Rockets | 50c | 7,950$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…8faebacked Rockets | 56c | 7,578$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 7,140$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…fba9backed Rockets | 51c | 5,665$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,547$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 56c | 5,403$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.93 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Rockets | 49c | 5,252$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.73 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Rockets | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Rockets | 52c | 5,000$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 51c | 4,797$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.67 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Rockets | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…c4d4backed Rockets | 56c | 4,023$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Thunder | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.98 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Thunder | 49c | 3,821$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.47 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…914bbacked Thunder | 44c | 3,705$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…1ba1backed Rockets | 57c | 3,696$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…3175backed Thunder | 43c | 3,612$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Rockets | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Thunder | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Rockets | 52c | 3,464$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.15 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…370cbacked Thunder | 47c | 3,342$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 50c | 3,235$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.04 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rockets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 48c | 2,935$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Rockets | 53c | 2,919$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…dab8backed Rockets | 56c | 2,897$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…1511backed Thunder | 44c | 2,647$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…28fbbacked Rockets | 57c | 2,607$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 49c | 2,511$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.27 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…2e0dbacked Rockets | 56c | 2,109$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Rockets | 53c | 1,971$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.57 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Rockets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9992…f33abacked Thunder | 43c | 1,927$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Thunder | 46c | 1,890$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…6927backed Thunder | 44c | 1,858$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…db23backed Rockets | 57c | 1,835$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…7171backed Thunder | 43c | 1,797$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 50c | 1,603$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 48c | 1,600$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Rockets | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Rockets | 53c | 1,157$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.51 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,146$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.16 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Rockets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Rockets | 55c | 912.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.91 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Rockets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Rockets | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Thunder | 59c | 909.06$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.17 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d7e8backed Rockets | 56c | 854.22$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 53c | 800.66$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…2c24backed Thunder | 44c | 787.13$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 45c | 778.27$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets | 55c | 654.33$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets | 52c | 633$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 53c | 630$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Thunder | 46c | 619.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Thunder | 49c | 618.84$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Thunder | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Thunder | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 48c | 581$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Thunder | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Rockets | 54c | 505.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Thunder | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Thunder | 48c | 472.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Rockets | 54c | 470$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Rockets | 53c | 440$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 44c | 400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Rockets vs. ThunderRockets won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 206.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.