TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c20,260$9,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,636.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c7,388$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.2587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c6,585$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.32,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under48c6,279$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.925858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Over48c6,239$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Under52c6,239$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c4,189$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.362,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under46c4,154$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.837653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.584358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under48c3,060$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.472572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over35c3,022$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.9956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,921$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c2,095$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.82,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over54c1,951$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.2925049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over47c1,742$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,670$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.0539449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under47c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.981,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over53c1,262$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.2718650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6365658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c1,093$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.262,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over36c1,010$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.711,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c1,009$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c882.47$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c825.9$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.443,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under52c801.56$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.465865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over35c687.29$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.741,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c622.49$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.763,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over51c608.39$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c606.94$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.564934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c503.83$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Over35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c428.6$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18415154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked Over76c394.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.351450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over45c380$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c286$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over38c275.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.211,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Over45c243$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.494151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over38c226.9$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0622044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over53c221.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over59c209.32$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0829046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c204.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0716347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1953453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over54c185.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over71c180.78$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7733258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c179.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over48c174.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c158.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.251,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over50c148.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Over54c138.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.884351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over64c110.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.343246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under51c102.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over52c101.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.924847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2911759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb82…c668backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under36c96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5925347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over56c85.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.019560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under48c80.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3518957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d37…5b73backed Under60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32045%9 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4750351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over36c53.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3427463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Under49c52.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.969259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c51.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over55c44.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.648440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under48c40.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.719150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under47c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6327548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…b23ebacked Over49c38.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under46c38.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7713750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c35.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c27.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over53c25.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.914257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52cf…85ccbacked Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ea…98bdbacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+129.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under49c21.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over52c20.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9125143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec8…c1e5backed Under53c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over51c20.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8914352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.