TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd60f…b6c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$29.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$7.57
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+48%+$7.52
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.32
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.26
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$23.67
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.1
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$15.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$10.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.7%+$373.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.9%+$227.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.3%+$261.78
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$491.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$190.91
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+137.6%+$46.33
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST4151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$117.3
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$614.52
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$379.42
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$202.81
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$51.3
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$338.1
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$492.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$895.44
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+83.8%+$204.63
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$135.2
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$161.9
Rockets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$44.4
Spread: Heat (-10.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$133.4
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$323.4
Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+105.1%+$932.7
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+103.7%+$397.1
76ers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$844.6
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.8%+$1,052.36
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,185.6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,170
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+75%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$30.29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$9.67
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.05
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$6.65
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+27%+$47.09
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+70%+$46.35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$326.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.72
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$90.11
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$10.87
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$41.93
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,717.8%+$1,429.39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+398%+$1,442.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$753.58
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$23.92
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+169.3%+$76.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$22.22
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$20.16
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$33.55
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$22.01
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$30.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.17
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$17.19
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$14.73
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$31.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$8.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+727.1%+$96.7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.07
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$136.83
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,021.8%+$318.8
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.19
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.09
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$578.72
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$161.44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+121.5%+$1,359.69
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$82.04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$48.9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28%+$23.93
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+77%+$100.5
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35%+$32.34
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$287.28
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.07
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$35.29
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.21
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.2
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.65
Will Laurie Buckhout be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+64.3%+$27.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.59
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.13
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.71
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$13.36
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+52%+$18.73
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.66
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$28.33
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$22.42
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$11.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.02
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$96.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+98.3%+$104.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$73.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$158.4
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.2
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$4.7
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$7.22
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$31.5
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.3
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+153.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,540.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$73.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+110%+$168.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.3%+$8.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.