Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480bfbf8e0409933c542bdc1487fd3602c17d55bfb74e70e70ba618719d2268c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 6c | 8,986$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,447.16 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 58c | 5,391$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.24 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 26c | 3,498$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.35 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 80c | 2,980$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 1,440$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.91 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 27c | 1,292$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.54 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 17c | 1,127$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.66 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 68c | 1,075$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.53 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 34c | 690.91$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.06 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 680.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.85 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 74c | 679$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 69c | 583.98$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 67c | 500.13$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 471.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.94 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 73c | 467$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.95 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 453.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 59c | 434.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 418.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.38 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes | 56c | 359.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…6df2backed Yes | 57c | 278.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 73c | 274.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked No | 45c | 274.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…db35backed Yes | 60c | 267.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 46c | 263.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 42c | 254$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 248.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 73c | 240.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 56c | 238.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7c…d5f6backed Yes | 31c | 231.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 6c | 205.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 197.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 181.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 57c | 175.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 37c | 175.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed Yes | 57c | 174.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 14c | 170.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 68c | 158.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 44c | 158.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 60c | 156.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 26c | 149.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 141.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked No | 27c | 141$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 34c | 139.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 63c | 137.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 69c | 132$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 27c | 130.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 12c | 121$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 23c | 117$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 73c | 104$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed No | 26c | 103.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Yes | 70c | 97.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…b261backed Yes | 78c | 91.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked No | 44c | 90.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8c…8e34backed Yes | 58c | 90.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Yes | 58c | 88.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 61c | 78.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…49f9backed No | 45c | 78.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 76.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 49c | 76.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 57c | 75.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 37c | 71.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 44c | 70.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…7d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 77c | 67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 19c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 43c | 63.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…d3ebbacked Yes | 57c | 57.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 35c | 57.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…999fbacked Yes | 73c | 57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 26c | 56.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 32c | 55.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…3036backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…b9f6backed Yes | 62c | 48.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 39c | 48.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…5c58backed No | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 54c | 43.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked No | 27c | 40.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…3134backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…9c2cbacked Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…4a23backed Yes | 55c | 32.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked No | 42c | 31.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…384bbacked Yes | 56c | 29.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…e967backed Yes | 77c | 28.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…6444backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?this page
- Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes won
- Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No won
- Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No won
- Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.