TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7131…b3a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Music at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+70%+$452.52
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$330.63
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.54
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$140.07
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$143.68
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$99.13
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$171.86
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.5
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$785.06
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.51
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$214.68
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$155.03
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$258.26
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980.6
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$361.81
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$537.78
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$329.82
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$485.86
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$54.13
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.83
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$157.23
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.53
All 22 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick68cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$171.43
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.1
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,931.55
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.12
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$218.53
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$106.41
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.37
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$157.87
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.72
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$35.21
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$156.35
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.97
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.24
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,616.5
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,534.04
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.36
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$113.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.19
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,779.84
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.3%+$3,572.7
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,913Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$1,146.78
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30%+$174.55
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$152.07
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$281.86
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,772.66
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$347.22
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+433.9%+$1,215.03
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Lee Jun-seok not endorse any candidate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33%+$14.13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.81
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$16.52
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$48.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$58.9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33%+$63.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$48.44
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.48
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.33
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.44
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.6
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$37.85
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Robin Montgomerybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.74
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.97
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.49
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$257.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$539.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Zaragoza vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$30.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.