TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes63c5,546$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…ad6bbacked Yes73c5,031$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No29c3,730$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.956914.5%10 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No38c2,758$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.415932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes43c2,358$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.36560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked No25c2,103$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.3926139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes46c2,069$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.52per pick34cpaid+219.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No30c1,461$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3332255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes66c1,430$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes68c1,398$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7414126.2%37 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes79c1,368$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.372770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed Yes75c1,126$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe450…91b9backed Yes68c1,087$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes44c1,065$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.622227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb0…a003backed No17c997.05$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.18425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe685…d373backed Yes80c995.07$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes71c988.12$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes71c984.57$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.573336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617129.6%21 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f7…f949backed Yes70c868.1$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes36c867.41$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.561520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a3…7739backed Yes44c801.1$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes50c768.06$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.787017.1%12 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed No74c735$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x991d…419ebacked Yes68c714.6$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef44…5483backed Yes76c682.13$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.84887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a47…d7f1backed Yes74c675.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes77c647.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-61.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes60c624.37$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8433…6e0fbacked No77c593$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes23c563$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+285.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes70c540.86$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb1…bb43backed Yes78c509.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef0…fb63backed No42c496.18$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes62c479.61$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.464445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No43c461.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9616343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163a…6388backed Yes78c424.99$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.551573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df2…905bbacked No26c420.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f8…497dbacked Yes55c416.01$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f65…7192backed Yes48c415.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…c972backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001675%12 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No30c388.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1520065%130 W · 70 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3859…7359backed Yes26c368$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6388…f668backed Yes26c367$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea04…8678backed Yes43c351.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes68c346.53$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4118530.3%56 W · 129 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4456…6aacbacked Yes71c318.59$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…c427backed Yes79c300.35$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2c…8d51backed Yes57c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…1613backed Yes68c297.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb6…93f6backed Yes73c295.33$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.791855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fa…ec32backed Yes68c295$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e19…eb4cbacked No52c287.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…bd9ebacked No29c276.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf70…52fbbacked Yes25c273.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick17cpaid+297.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9e…0bcdbacked Yes64c266.56$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No28c263.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0544921.2%95 W · 354 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed Yes66c257.01$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.163243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddcd…725fbacked Yes44c250.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6e…01ecbacked No30c244.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes68c240.27$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.013470.6%24 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dd…28e0backed Yes73c239.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.542360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd834…fbd5backed Yes47c239.43$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff0…c3a9backed Yes68c231.39$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No33c220.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.991,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73c…589bbacked Yes47c217.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8f…d024backed Yes28c213.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+255.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes70c200.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+175.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b8f…3b86backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2413446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc516…4298backed Yes76c198.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No37c190.77$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1711647.4%55 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f29…a37cbacked Yes58c190.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No8c189.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.053925.6%10 W · 29 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick12cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Yes72c187.27$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ae…73ddbacked No32c181.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.281723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+93.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00df…7f26backed Yes65c180.13$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes55c180.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…6c73backed Yes70c170.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36be…6b1ebacked Yes74c164.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No24c163.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5331152.4%163 W · 148 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a62…7087backed Yes76c160.54$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7475…2a10backed Yes70c157.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.143464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No42c154.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.641850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b64…2350backed Yes45c153.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No41c150.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9939414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x224e…61fbbacked Yes55c149.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcece…8c50backed Yes67c148.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b3…53f0backed Yes36c147.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9c…90d1backed Yes69c145.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes33c143.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.62633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+125.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb26…0e22backed No25c143.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a9…4f6abacked Yes46c142.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0813…017ebacked Yes72c139.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+105.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65c…502fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefb…34c0backed Yes70c136.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f26…b61bbacked Yes70c135.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd1…4b75backed Yes45c133.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d5…7b83backed Yes59c131.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b2…b835backed Yes38c131.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.