TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b34…294c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$447.71
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,279.99
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+263.9%+$367.68
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+132.7%+$132.74
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+115%+$460.17
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$861.32
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$350.97
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+45.6%+$44.01
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$369.99
Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,250
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$247.2
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,029.99
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$888.54
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,005
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$245.43
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$23.33
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.3%+$214.79
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$275
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$326.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+119%+$152.45
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-76.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,718.65
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.2%+$413.41
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+59.3%+$1,081.79
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.9%+$546.55
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.