TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Spurs, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,635,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,693,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,635,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies33c336,120$110,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,29187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs67c265,501$178,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,202.061,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Grizzlies32c239,154$76,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,302.9848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs67c136,645$91,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,552.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Spurs67c108,726$73,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,333.8923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Spurs67c91,839$61,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,813.3136359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies33c82,061$27,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,961.351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Grizzlies32c60,005$19,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,653.3819150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Spurs68c58,502$39,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,781.0317250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs68c58,120$39,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,440.5559653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Grizzlies33c49,120$16,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,094.9520551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs69c49,029$33,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,766.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Spurs62c48,735$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Grizzlies34c43,214$14,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,556.477941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Spurs68c42,457$28,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,715.4725753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies38c40,355$15,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,134.231,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies50c31,842$15,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,003.975,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ba…eba1backed Grizzlies35c28,510$9,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,663.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs76c27,171$20,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,761.9659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Spurs68c25,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs67c24,700$16,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,576.8889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs68c24,341$16,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,446.084,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Spurs68c24,250$16,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,389.9119048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Grizzlies32c23,338$7,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,769.7915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies32c22,222$7,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,110.9647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e58…1c7cbacked Spurs0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Grizzlies32c19,998$6,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,50110049%49 W · 51 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Spurs23c19,804$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.8110947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies31c19,500$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,419.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Grizzlies33c18,242$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,291.9321538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies34c18,195$6,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,047.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies28c17,458$4,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,634.848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies34c15,781$5,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,449.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies42c15,586$6,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,091.122,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Spurs64c15,214$9,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,791.727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Spurs67c15,000$10,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,049.9915247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.9637539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Spurs67c14,344$9,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,619.7122458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs69c13,663$9,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,377.011,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs68c12,148$8,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,207.552,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs67c11,075$7,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,449.872,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Spurs68c11,000$7,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,48014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies47c10,435$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,535.412,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Grizzlies32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Spurs69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9005139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Spurs68c9,328$6,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.1324151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies44c9,299$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,229.051,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Grizzlies32c9,208$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,261.447745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs67c9,056$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Spurs54c9,027$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.9939744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Spurs66c9,000$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.8762347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs62c8,888$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.4576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies32c8,719$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.841,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Grizzlies33c8,641$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,789.5728439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Grizzlies30c8,528$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,965.9139958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c58…7aebbacked Grizzlies29c8,038$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.93560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Spurs65c7,812$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,089.6547043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies48c7,508$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.391,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Spurs66c7,487$4,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9256851.5%35 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs68c7,353$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x166a…e675backed Spurs67c7,155$4,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,781.952839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies32c7,058$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,770.032,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs69c6,411$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Spurs67c6,290$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,21415855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Grizzlies30c6,008$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,205.173568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Spurs66c5,800$3,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82814945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Spurs53c5,800$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.9921944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs68c5,575$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.112147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Spurs66c5,555$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.2436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies30c5,082$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies36c5,051$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.5819136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60e2…f378backed Grizzlies33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Grizzlies32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…53a1backed Spurs61c5,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies31c4,917$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.3186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies41c4,867$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Spurs67c4,717$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.5127247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Grizzlies26c4,694$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.237537.3%28 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Spurs65c4,669$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0303458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e10…6a89backed Spurs70c4,554$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.36352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Spurs50c4,405$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Spurs69c4,333$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9901643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies17c4,255$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.793,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies47c4,112$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.4689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660a…3e86backed Spurs79c4,100$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2581553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies33c4,050$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.481,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Grizzlies27c4,024$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.8823630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x026b…bb31backed Spurs69c4,010$2,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Spurs2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs74c4,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9404868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Grizzlies33c4,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.954261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Spurs57c3,994$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.326637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies44c3,943$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.8622457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Spurs68c3,900$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65215945.9%73 W · 86 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Spurs43c3,828$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.7712143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Spurs52c3,815$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Grizzlies33c3,700$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47911244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs67c3,648$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.1592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Spurs69c3,616$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.9911142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.