TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca21…b07c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
329
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT22458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 224 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+2,027.7%+$1,012.95
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.72
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.48
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$532.92
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$999.35
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$604.23
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$1,272.95
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.12
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$271.83
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$110.07
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71%+$753.36
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$317.14
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$37.51
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105.58
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$43.94
Showing 25 of 224 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,760
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$1,454.03
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,986.77
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$629.9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$550
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$124.94
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$644
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$272.68
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$385.96
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$51.67
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$595.4
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,831Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$2,379.47
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$1,040
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.1%+$1,472.35
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,003Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+27.9%+$1,118.06
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,161.71
Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$6,083
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,548.65
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,932Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$1,848.22
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$588.55
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Rusebacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$50.06
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$640
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+45.1%+$391.66
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+66.2%+$1,135
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.9%+$468.87
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Clement Taburbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$105
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$137.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.1%+$220.5
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$64.1
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$103.49
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Was JFK assassination an inside job?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.48
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$320
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$72
UAB Blazers vs. UConnbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,879Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$1,222.88
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,008Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$670.23
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,589Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33%+$1,183.24
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,432
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$65
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$271.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+65.6%+$396.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.3%+$629.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$461.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+31%+$619.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs KUKUYS V2 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$123
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.