TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$798,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$836,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros39c59,352$23,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,200.334,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Los Angeles Angels46c43,303$19,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,919.317755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels47c37,847$17,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,719.364,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Los Angeles Angels46c34,903$16,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,055.4623948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros49c34,585$17,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,513.341,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels61c28,105$17,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,102.5295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.8144851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Los Angeles Angels69c19,310$13,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,269.071,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels54c18,956$10,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,277.512,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels38c14,992$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.818,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros38c14,382$5,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,847.8543554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels56c13,354$7,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,427.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros55c13,300$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9851,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Los Angeles Angels47c10,417$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.8398149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros55c9,118$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.4811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,14077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Los Angeles Angels80c8,802$7,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,041.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…41f3backed Houston Astros54c8,562$4,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Houston Astros61c7,875$4,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.476552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Houston Astros54c6,400$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros44c5,858$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.189,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros42c5,768$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,346.744,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Astros42c5,493$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.91,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba8…854bbacked Los Angeles Angels41c5,229$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Houston Astros37c5,132$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.26467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Houston Astros41c5,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00915849.4%78 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Angels47c5,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3301,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros54c4,171$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.5289153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Houston Astros56c4,073$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.137451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Los Angeles Angels46c3,880$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Houston Astros38c3,776$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.0930242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros40c3,741$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.2622257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Los Angeles Angels46c3,624$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.9334942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Angels52c3,564$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.142,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Los Angeles Angels43c3,455$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Houston Astros53c3,413$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.5517460.9%106 W · 68 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Los Angeles Angels48c3,235$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.973938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels46c3,200$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros46c3,070$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.811,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels45c2,937$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.6444749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston Astros55c2,864$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Houston Astros51c2,750$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9929948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Houston Astros17c2,683$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+138.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros44c2,665$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.4679147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels52c2,608$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.78,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros53c2,603$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.975,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros53c2,570$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.9997944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros47c2,507$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.3610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros53c2,386$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.640043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros50c2,377$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.758,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Houston Astros48c2,312$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.6225247.6%120 W · 132 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros64c2,303$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.864,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Los Angeles Angels45c2,257$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7620648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Houston Astros63c2,107$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Houston Astros52c2,102$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Houston Astros54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9207460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Houston Astros76c1,988$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.8726857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros53c1,978$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.613,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Houston Astros17c1,765$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.71850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+156.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels25c1,739$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.113,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Houston Astros50c1,661$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.739848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Angels46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69024639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Houston Astros59c1,446$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.1937451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Angels46c1,440$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels62c1,423$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8866,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Houston Astros51c1,361$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.355433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Houston Astros60c1,317$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.676653%35 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed Los Angeles Angels45c1,300$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…274bbacked Houston Astros47c1,269$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Los Angeles Angels46c1,251$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.2529354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Houston Astros56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,249$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.7252228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros54c1,246$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.051,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1132…5a2fbacked Los Angeles Angels60c1,196$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros36c1,194$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.361,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Houston Astros54c1,169$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.5211255.4%62 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3709…bb80backed Houston Astros43c1,157$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.74922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Angels53c1,139$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.8191252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Houston Astros52c1,071$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.259837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Los Angeles Angels46c1,055$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.33036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Houston Astros62c1,044$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.657751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels71c1,038$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.851,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x044f…7c20backed Los Angeles Angels59c1,021$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Los Angeles Angels47c1,020$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.311848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Los Angeles Angels46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46011642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Houston Astros63c980.62$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Houston Astros57c957.14$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.797060%42 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Houston Astros54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Los Angeles Angels45c920$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Houston Astros55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0910750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Houston Astros55c909$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0520455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Los Angeles Angels46c833.7$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.536250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Houston Astros72c816.81$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4427450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros23c787.19$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60931958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels52c786.88$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.991,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros26c777$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9870735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.