TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9625…5bb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.39
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,643.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,123.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.49
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$431.88
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$918
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,531.71
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,622Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,621.94
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,010.25
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,383.31
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$798
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,483.69
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$563.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$648
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+97%+$1,354.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$5,429.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,144
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$928.11
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT5459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs The Last Resort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$376.36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.89
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$483.2
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.2
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$439.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$498.52
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.46
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.96
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,274.99
Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winnerbacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.5
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,190.39
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,039.97
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,180.45
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.39
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,959.99
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,227.47
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.48
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,260
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$906.39
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$805
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,885Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,694.07
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,151.94
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.99
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,520
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,991.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,907.6
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,119.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,330.1
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$780
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,077.54
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.8
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.2
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$431.8
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$688.36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,225
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,345.67
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,993Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,767.2
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,991.6
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,643.38
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,508
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,913.38
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,953Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,227.64
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,552.97
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$613.91
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.4
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,429.05
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.52
ITF Amstelveen: Madelief Hageman vs Daniela Vismanebacked Daniela Vismane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$258.9
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,979.6
ITF Monastir: Mathys Picard vs Roger Pascual Ferrabacked Mathys Picard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,674
ITF Maanshan: Meiqi Guo vs Evialina Laskevichbacked Evialina Laskevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$770
Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.46
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.6
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.62
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$714
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,429.98
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,015
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$3,308.8
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.03
Dublin: Clement Tabur vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,086.16
Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$721.49
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.4
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfibacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$510
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zhengbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$900
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$601.07
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,752
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$556.8
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$828.57
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$396
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.99
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$101
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714.99
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,992.5
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.9
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$402.5
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$546
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$698.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$1,001.46
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,771.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$512.5
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$525
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$210.72
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Hokori (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$663.3
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$133.85
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,555.8
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$720.97
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,664.98
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$657.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,150.09
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$437
All 25 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.51
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,574.24
Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 2 Winnerbacked IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.55
Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$487.85
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,446.61
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.48
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,190.7
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$704
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$927.47
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,259.99
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550.22
Valorant: Insomnia vs Fennel - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fennel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,527.5
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$906.94
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$628.2
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$415.78
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,490.4
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$819
Valorant: University War vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$672
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$431.21
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 4 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,641Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$638.17
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$382.66
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$434
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,025.98
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$917.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$183.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,924Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,621.81
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$183.42
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$369.6
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.19
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$420
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$640
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,243.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$486.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.