TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof TDK, Team Nemesis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis64c3,584$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.251,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Team Nemesis55c2,800$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TDK46c2,700$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.753,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TDK49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed TDK1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK49c914.88$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.076,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Nemesis31c873.29$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5725039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed TDK48c777.35$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis52c705.66$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.874,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x185f…acc1backed Team Nemesis51c570.2$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TDK56c498.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.485,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TDK56c459.57$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.753,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed TDK63c450$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.518338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf268…ecf6backed Team Nemesis36c419.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.647851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed TDK50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed TDK4c397.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1739538.7%153 W · 242 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x186b…8567backed Team Nemesis52c363.59$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.146333.3%21 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TDK51c356.44$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.522,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97f…dd8bbacked TDK33c343.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511352.2%59 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Team Nemesis76c318.36$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1910438.5%40 W · 64 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis60c315.08$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.887,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed Team Nemesis30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106354%34 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis59c266$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.252,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Nemesis71c247.75$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7544675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Team Nemesis55c234.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.596945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked TDK68c232.19$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.994240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed TDK45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.921247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TDK45c221.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked TDK5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed TDK68c164.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.435848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked TDK67c159$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.091,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis54c156.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.094,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Nemesis51c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5517450.6%88 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed TDK70c154$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.215277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TDK45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8885…7712backed Team Nemesis35c139.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.024032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked TDK73c137.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Team Nemesis50c128.46$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2327156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…8063backed TDK50c128.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.237331.5%23 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed TDK54c127.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3519342%81 W · 112 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK70c121.6$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4163457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Team Nemesis52c120.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7740972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis50c120.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.82,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked TDK51c119.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6362738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis36c113.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.492,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Team Nemesis74c112.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1526048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed TDK56c101.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.631,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed TDK75c100.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.633655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed TDK44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4449935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed TDK33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked TDK35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d1…2cf6backed Team Nemesis51c96.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.114946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Team Nemesis51c94.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.225046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Team Nemesis62c94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Team Nemesis70c86.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Team Nemesis33c83.39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8831647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed TDK47c80.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8196743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed TDK43c73.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked TDK25c63.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.771,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa129…0838backed TDK49c61.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…692dbacked TDK46c56.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.839048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed TDK29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9552649%258 W · 268 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed TDK49c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.648943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22bc…b0b2backed TDK61c44.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713047.7%62 W · 68 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked TDK61c43.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.252,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TDK45c42.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed TDK58c41.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2164046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…31cbbacked TDK58c41.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245151%26 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd701…6df0backed TDK51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Team Nemesis79c37.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.858564.7%55 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ab…a53fbacked Team Nemesis33c37.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.823933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Nemesis33c33.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.642,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed Team Nemesis70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577159.2%42 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed TDK44c27.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.154148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4faf…54d2backed Team Nemesis72c26.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed TDK75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked TDK60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed TDK50c24.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.365444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed TDK49c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.878344.6%37 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed TDK69c23.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…8c5bbacked TDK64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.446943.5%30 W · 39 L-10.8wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Team Nemesis54c20.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4468172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfd4b…0ffbbacked TDK53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b4…88dfbacked TDK64c19.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.625166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Team Nemesis76c16.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1540857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.