CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894576d0813d9f984a3e87376aa852e861c3b48bf53602bed14f686244373272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof TDK, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 29c | 16,223$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 18c | 15,942$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.63 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 8,232$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed TDK | 46c | 5,532$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.15 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…9b1ebacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 5,460$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked TDK | 37c | 5,423$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.3 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed TDK | 47c | 4,441$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 4,265$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.89 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked TDK | 49c | 3,073$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed TDK | 46c | 2,894$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.38 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TDK | 20c | 2,557$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.56 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 2,271$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.7 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 2,257$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 32c | 2,025$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 38c | 2,010$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.98 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 38c | 1,987$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed TDK | 42c | 1,984$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.22 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TDK | 22c | 1,901$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.17 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 1,802$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.02 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 1,798$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.13 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 1,642$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.24 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 1,511$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.23 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 1,500$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b698backed TDK | 2c | 1,475$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked TDK | 46c | 1,330$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.35 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TDK | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed TDK | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked TDK | 40c | 1,109$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.65 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed TDK | 44c | 1,040$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.81 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed TDK | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 987.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 970.5$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.81 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 941.8$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.32 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked TDK | 23c | 910.16$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 792.75$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 782.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 727.13$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked TDK | 45c | 696$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 35c | 646.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 646.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…10b4backed TDK | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 626.73$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.29 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed TDK | 37c | 604.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed TDK | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 599.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed TDK | 46c | 589.24$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed TDK | 31c | 584.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TDK | 18c | 579.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked TDK | 28c | 570.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed TDK | 54c | 558.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TDK | 23c | 550$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed TDK | 46c | 532.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…9683backed TDK | 46c | 519.39$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked TDK | 38c | 507.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 502.84$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 502.75$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed TDK | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 487.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TDK | 39c | 485.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…df98backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 473.98$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…acc1backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 464.27$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 450$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 448.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 428.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked TDK | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed TDK | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 399.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 399.4$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed TDK | 20c | 393.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 389.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 380.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…4942backed TDK | 43c | 372.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked TDK | 20c | 372.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TDK | 17c | 370.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed TDK | 16c | 357.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked TDK | 17c | 353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked TDK | 15c | 348.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked TDK | 52c | 335$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 332.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked TDK | 23c | 330.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed TDK | 46c | 311.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed TDK | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked TDK | 47c | 300.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed TDK | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked TDK | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed TDK | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked TDK | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 299.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 284$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 273.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed TDK | 25c | 271.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked TDK | 30c | 264.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed TDK | 45c | 260.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked TDK | 30c | 260.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 259.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.