TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc790…cbd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Dota2 at 50 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.14
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.79
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.71
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.3
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,002.25
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,465.9
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$416.33
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,039.84
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$200.5
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$352.12
Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102%+$408.16
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pedri: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.6
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$740.55
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$862
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$911.12
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+264.4%+$1,322.15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+293.6%+$2,894.33
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.44
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.97
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$382.82
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$927.81
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$631.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$419
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$900.9
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$917.01
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.37
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,002.58
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.16
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.