CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4af958b88f9228223e632167521b71d4fafb53f69118814f1dfc725d966986

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof MOUZ, Astralis
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $103,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,729 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x691a…12babacked MOUZ	43c	12,690$5,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,413.32	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-5.3wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ	43c	12,000$5,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,159.98	361	52.6%190 W · 171 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Astralis	57c	10,033$5,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,314.29	269	54.6%147 W · 122 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Astralis	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	199	54.3%108 W · 91 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ	44c	9,874$4,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,344.22	5,194	55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L	+131.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed MOUZ	45c	9,575$4,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,308.75	196	42.3%83 W · 113 L	-8.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis	57c	8,031$4,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,448.5	487	46.6%227 W · 260 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Astralis	55c	5,454$2,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,458.7	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis	57c	5,110$2,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,197.24	374	45.7%171 W · 203 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Astralis	57c	4,415$2,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.74	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Astralis	60c	4,192$2,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,663.34	1,598	51.6%824 W · 774 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ	39c	4,006$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.96	693	48.2%334 W · 359 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed MOUZ	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720	278	52.9%147 W · 131 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Astralis	55c	3,642$2,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,638.83	604	48.8%295 W · 309 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Astralis	60c	3,317$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.66	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Astralis	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.98	804	39.7%319 W · 485 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed Astralis	57c	3,000$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.24	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed MOUZ	41c	2,576$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056	240	32.5%78 W · 162 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Astralis	57c	2,511$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.53	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+23%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Astralis	59c	2,357$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.31	260	45.8%119 W · 141 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ	43c	2,063$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887	1,638	44.6%731 W · 907 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked MOUZ	42c	2,025$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.25	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ	42c	2,008$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.93	178	38.2%68 W · 110 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab1b…99e1backed MOUZ	41c	1,937$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Astralis	61c	1,896$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.55	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ	43c	1,786$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.84	631	56.4%356 W · 275 L	+14.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis	61c	1,767$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.12	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed MOUZ	44c	1,543$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.27	500	55.2%276 W · 224 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ	44c	1,525$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.92	2,697	52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L	+30.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed MOUZ	38c	1,500$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked MOUZ	42c	1,456$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.31	240	54.2%130 W · 110 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis	59c	1,079$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.32	828	42.9%355 W · 473 L	+20.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Astralis	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	1,819	59%1,074 W · 745 L	+105.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked MOUZ	41c	999.99$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis	58c	892.25$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.75	584	35.8%209 W · 375 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ	45c	888.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2,071	54%1,119 W · 952 L	+14.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ	45c	849.69$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.81	504	45.8%231 W · 273 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed MOUZ	41c	700$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287	230	41.3%95 W · 135 L	-15.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Astralis	60c	700$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	152	51.3%78 W · 74 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ	39c	699.99$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	605	41%248 W · 357 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ	34c	692.95$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.43	871	45.9%400 W · 471 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Astralis	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	354	43.2%153 W · 201 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	468	50.2%235 W · 233 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Astralis	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	130	53.1%69 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Astralis	58c	495$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.43	1,042	53.1%553 W · 489 L	+62.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked MOUZ	42c	461.64$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.89	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-5.1wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed MOUZ	43c	459.42$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	138	49.3%68 W · 70 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed MOUZ	40c	455.03$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.92	590	39.3%232 W · 358 L	-24.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed MOUZ	39c	428.87$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.26	159	48.4%77 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Astralis	58c	368.97$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.97	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked MOUZ	43c	367.67$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	128	46.9%60 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Astralis	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	213	52.6%112 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed MOUZ	43c	348$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.64	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Astralis	61c	331.86$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.86	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked MOUZ	43c	329.63$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.74	516	50.4%260 W · 256 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Astralis	71c	309.52$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.73	728	60.2%438 W · 290 L	+72.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Astralis	57c	300$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.7	1,051	49%515 W · 536 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ	41c	273.06$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.71	2,749	47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L	-37.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked MOUZ	39c	265.55$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.56	922	45.8%422 W · 500 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Astralis	63c	255.18$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.58	186	53.8%100 W · 86 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed MOUZ	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	538	50.6%272 W · 266 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed Astralis	61c	245.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.99	104	50%52 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Astralis	60c	243.9$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.14	146	54.8%80 W · 66 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed Astralis	62c	243.42$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.42	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Astralis	63c	238.1$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.1	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…8189backed MOUZ	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Astralis	71c	196.56$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.56	325	44.3%144 W · 181 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked MOUZ	41c	195.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.19	314	39.5%124 W · 190 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed MOUZ	44c	193.97$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	208	48.1%100 W · 108 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c55…e0f8backed Astralis	61c	188.55$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.21	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked MOUZ	38c	183.87$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Astralis	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked Astralis	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Astralis	57c	171.74$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	367	44.4%163 W · 204 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Astralis	59c	169.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.69	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked MOUZ	38c	169.35$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.35	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Astralis	62c	169.35$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.35	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked Astralis	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	115	46.1%53 W · 62 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x292a…d1acbacked Astralis	60c	165.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.57	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Astralis	57c	160$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.8	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Astralis	59c	125.04$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.87	274	49.3%135 W · 139 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked MOUZ	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis	56c	114.8$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.51	1,101	51%561 W · 540 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x885a…e1e3backed MOUZ	43c	110.34$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.09	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Astralis	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	230	51.3%118 W · 112 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed MOUZ	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	170	41.2%70 W · 100 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Astralis	59c	99.99$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.33	1,995	47.5%948 W · 1,047 L	-55.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked MOUZ	43c	91.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	186	61.3%114 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Astralis	54c	90$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Astralis	57c	89.97$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.69	393	38.2%150 W · 243 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed Astralis	57c	86.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.39	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed MOUZ	42c	83.56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	89	47.2%42 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed MOUZ	42c	73.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	196	46.9%92 W · 104 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1c…6b60backed Astralis	61c	66.8$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.05	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ee…1f82backed Astralis	60c	66.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-10.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7121…bdb3backed Astralis	58c	63.5$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed MOUZ	32c	62.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39df…6edfbacked MOUZ	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb434…8b4fbacked Astralis	61c	57.54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+6.8wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+74.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event