CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1e39fc2e599a3e1cc3cf52bca2d8f4a0dd86296b03f7c41b5b447ef1808370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Over | 45c | 2,169$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,835$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.91 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Over | 43c | 1,813$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 56c | 1,709$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.03 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 44c | 1,709$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.83 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 1,438$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.32 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Under | 61c | 1,157$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Under | 55c | 1,098$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Under | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 44c | 727.27$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 648.35$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 604$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.4 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 51c | 550.35$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Over | 45c | 525$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Over | 46c | 515.44$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 46c | 506.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Over | 75c | 504.39$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 46c | 460.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.33 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 411.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 55c | 272.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…bec6backed Under | 14c | 217.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 192.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 50c | 170.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 74c | 155.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 55c | 136.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 73c | 105.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 94.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…3c15backed Over | 44c | 90.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…3762backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked Over | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 76.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 67.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 29c | 65.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 349 | 41.5%145 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Over | 44c | 53.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 46c | 50.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…abc9backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…8b4fbacked Over | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 312 | 39.7%124 W · 188 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…547abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 58c | 41.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 57c | 37.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 33.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 47c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Over | 52c | 30.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 43c | 27.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 218 | 55.5%121 W · 97 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 44c | 22.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 59c | 17.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.