CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8ceb3ad6b8a7e5fceade09a5aed62544f9f8ce83ec1f4780eea10b8b7a7339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 61c | 50,100$30,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,560.72 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Astralis | 46c | 40,117$18,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,701.65 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Astralis | 64c | 25,384$16,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,109.95 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Astralis | 39c | 22,897$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,967.17 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked MOUZ | 29c | 17,310$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.86 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 26c | 9,096$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.02 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 51c | 8,974$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.74 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Astralis | 39c | 7,700$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ | 59c | 6,846$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.25 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 39c | 6,474$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.13 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Astralis | 80c | 6,244$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.78 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 6,136$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.16 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Astralis | 39c | 5,705$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,482$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.6 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed MOUZ | 22c | 4,520$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.37 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed MOUZ | 60c | 4,371$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.82 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed MOUZ | 36c | 4,118$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 20c | 3,968$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.2 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 56c | 3,498$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.98 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Astralis | 68c | 3,347$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.19 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 58c | 2,912$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.66 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Astralis | 78c | 2,520$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Astralis | 45c | 2,333$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.33 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,222$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed MOUZ | 6c | 2,200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Astralis | 52c | 2,170$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.55 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,005$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,933$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…9fb7backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,825$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 75c | 1,715$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,714$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.81 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Astralis | 39c | 1,664$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.1 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Astralis | 41c | 1,620$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.59 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis | 48c | 1,599$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.64 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,515$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.86 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 75c | 1,424$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,397$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,390$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.48 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,387$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Astralis | 67c | 1,333$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.63 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,270$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.45 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,264$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Astralis | 73c | 1,239$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis | 39c | 1,237$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.57 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,228$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…89f5backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,165$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,163$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.31 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,143$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.91 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,126$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.49 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ | 22c | 1,115$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,093$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,069$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Astralis | 76c | 1,027$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Astralis | 43c | 1,002$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.73 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked MOUZ | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.97 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Astralis | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Astralis | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ | 57c | 999.97$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.32 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 37c | 999.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ | 62c | 986.41$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.57 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed MOUZ | 50c | 975$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed MOUZ | 46c | 958.6$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 25c | 944$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 37c | 880.96$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Astralis | 39c | 856$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.16 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Astralis | 36c | 819.49$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.67 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Astralis | 71c | 809.81$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Astralis | 76c | 790.39$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked MOUZ | 38c | 778.61$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 771.67$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 24c | 765.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 568 | 22.5%128 W · 440 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked MOUZ | 44c | 764.74$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 40c | 737.49$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Astralis | 40c | 725$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis | 39c | 710$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.1 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed MOUZ | 59c | 676.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 67c | 659.62$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed MOUZ | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…66ecbacked MOUZ | 62c | 619.16$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked MOUZ | 55c | 609.8$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Astralis | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ | 33c | 560.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Astralis | 72c | 555.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed MOUZ | 36c | 551.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed MOUZ | 44c | 524$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ | 30c | 514.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 617 | 37.9%234 W · 383 L | -22.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ | 16c | 503$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Astralis | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1deebacked MOUZ | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 63c | 497.5$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Astralis | 57c | 491.31$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Astralis | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Astralis | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…bf30backed MOUZ | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Astralis | 40c | 433.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.