TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc57f…1746

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$2,950
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,950.3
Will Team Vitality make playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$449.37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.83
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$1,284.24
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$589.76
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.58
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+293.3%+$1,402
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.62
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$899.86
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,300.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$5,519.95
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.78
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,730
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,849.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,519.15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$895.7
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$604.5
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33%+$990.85
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,080.08
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$4,694.14
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,391.2
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$491.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.9
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$520
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$394.2
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.89
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$719.18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$453.22
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$779.98
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$787.28
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,849.98
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,849.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,300
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300.02
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,000
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.99
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,100.5
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+60.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$2,372.72
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,281.95
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$776.3
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,935.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$3,990.29
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,594.05
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,476.54
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$2,632.05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,272.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,766.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,588
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$5,962.41
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.49
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.