CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b10fcaf654960bc777ddc653d289331cd4719cc120bfb75e5efbba68d48c540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Vitality, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,260,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,393,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,260,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Vitality | 50c | 765,239$380,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380,700.27 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Spirit | 54c | 708,503$384,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324,253.95 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 50c | 543,751$271,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271,951.66 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Vitality | 57c | 150,000$85,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,499.8 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 56c | 142,792$79,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,992.55 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Vitality | 51c | 116,655$59,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,340.92 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 58c | 105,997$61,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,057.38 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Vitality | 58c | 100,092$57,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,771.39 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91da…1bc1backed Vitality | 34c | 61,365$20,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,864.15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Vitality | 59c | 50,900$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality | 57c | 50,877$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Vitality | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Spirit | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Vitality | 56c | 45,375$25,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,539.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 43c | 40,432$17,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,943.67 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Vitality | 34c | 39,266$13,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,350.6 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Spirit | 71c | 37,104$26,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.54 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Spirit | 44c | 36,000$15,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,159.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spirit | 44c | 35,034$15,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,620.15 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Vitality | 56c | 34,800$19,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,487.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 43c | 34,233$14,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,655.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked Vitality | 47c | 33,413$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Spirit | 72c | 31,909$22,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,059.63 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 53c | 30,158$16,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,048.7 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Vitality | 34c | 28,772$9,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,782.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Spirit | 69c | 28,260$19,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816.82 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality | 57c | 26,086$14,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,809.25 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Vitality | 41c | 23,574$9,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653.29 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spirit | 43c | 23,258$10,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,222.82 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…ab15backed Spirit | 43c | 23,234$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,243.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Vitality | 56c | 22,787$12,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,682.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Vitality | 56c | 22,222$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Vitality | 56c | 21,603$12,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,097.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Spirit | 44c | 20,682$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,581.82 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…b5b3backed Vitality | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…d26abacked Spirit | 67c | 18,789$12,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Vitality | 35c | 18,087$6,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.06 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…36e6backed Vitality | 38c | 18,059$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 56c | 16,336$9,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.34 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Spirit | 44c | 16,236$7,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,091.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Vitality | 37c | 16,043$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 57c | 16,038$9,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,141.44 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vitality | 56c | 15,232$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,527.72 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vitality | 57c | 15,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.93 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 58c | 14,766$8,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,228.23 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Vitality | 38c | 13,177$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.35 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Spirit | 44c | 12,926$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.34 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 52c | 12,899$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,187.95 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 50c | 12,635$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.02 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…2e18backed Vitality | 56c | 12,213$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Spirit | 46c | 11,778$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.4 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Spirit | 42c | 11,549$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,698.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Vitality | 36c | 11,539$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.23 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit | 43c | 11,207$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387.8 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit | 57c | 10,847$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.57 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 54c | 10,698$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.8 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Spirit | 46c | 10,585$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6bd4backed Vitality | 56c | 10,350$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 51c | 10,000$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Spirit | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Spirit | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Vitality | 57c | 10,000$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.97 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Vitality | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.96 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 52c | 9,910$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.03 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit | 49c | 9,685$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.35 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 60c | 9,350$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.62 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Spirit | 42c | 9,323$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.06 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…e947backed Vitality | 58c | 9,248$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 70c | 9,133$6,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.14 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed Vitality | 55c | 9,035$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…4845backed Vitality | 57c | 9,031$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Vitality | 35c | 9,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Vitality | 2c | 9,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Vitality | 56c | 8,773$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Spirit | 61c | 8,690$5,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Vitality | 46c | 8,647$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.74 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…7677backed Spirit | 43c | 8,465$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Vitality | 54c | 8,420$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…5eabbacked Vitality | 58c | 8,271$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Spirit | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Vitality | 39c | 7,720$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x759f…c937backed Vitality | 52c | 7,352$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Vitality | 56c | 7,200$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…a684backed Spirit | 53c | 7,200$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.89 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Spirit | 50c | 6,950$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.99 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Vitality | 33c | 6,666$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Vitality | 55c | 6,500$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Vitality | 34c | 6,464$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.72 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Vitality | 34c | 6,447$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.98 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Vitality | 53c | 6,361$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.03 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…8815backed Spirit | 52c | 6,323$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Vitality | 47c | 6,300$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Spirit | 45c | 6,206$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.29 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Vitality | 56c | 6,137$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.55 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Vitality | 32c | 6,124$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.57 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Spirit | 49c | 6,112$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.56 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 44c | 6,099$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.72 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.