TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed Over50c30,003$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,003.1219055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c15,211$7,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,603.241,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under50c13,406$6,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.2488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under50c4,469$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.931428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c4,009$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.631,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c3,198$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.762,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under15c2,987$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.75466.7%36 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under16c2,253$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.961,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed Over54c2,205$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.537163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under15c2,194$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over48c1,833$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.249536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over77c1,450$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.724042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under51c1,442$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.1328843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over73c1,387$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0126653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over73c1,352$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6719953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over78c1,315$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.611,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under51c1,107$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.511,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Over50c1,005$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.2627438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over48c807.37$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8315838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over77c785$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1510036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over76c692.82$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.986663.6%42 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over50c594.8$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8769445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c546.43$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…b18ebacked Over58c532.65$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…dd56backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c499.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c497.95$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9757641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under33c481.6$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.835141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over70c420.83$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1768659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c403.84$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.992,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.56149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under49c297.44$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2216142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under27c290.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.011,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under21c288.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.83,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Over51c197.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.411090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0837949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under19c195$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.076749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Over50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9519747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…5c4abacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5625634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under38c153.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8979951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4f1…2fa5backed Over49c138.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over50c138.08$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over62c129.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0338469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under45c119.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.558254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c113.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.064052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under50c110.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1613050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…c546backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9916550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over49c92.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.186858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43cf…d143backed Under21c91.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under31c88.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.042,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under52c86.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7432458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Over48c83.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6624943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed Over72c75.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.194841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…698abacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under21c69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under52c62.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2458745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f16…cae2backed Under16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bab…f30ebacked Over50c54.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…fd9ebacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Under52c48.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.953036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Over78c45.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9922954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Over67c44.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7741372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Over62c41.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8113871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under51c40.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.914751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa584…c9adbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over49c40.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8120755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e829backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73db…1507backed Under30c35.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Over57c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0828761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8008…8f1fbacked Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6118643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.528455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b66…582fbacked Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1d…d2b3backed Over50c27.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.871457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cb…80a3backed Over50c27.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Over78c25.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6818481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Over65c24.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6860954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under52c24.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7211656%65 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under51c23.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.184746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd95f…adfdbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.