TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf595…fd9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6159%36 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$12.25
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.98
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Marko Topobacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$7.88
Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$10.01
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$72.53
Barbora Krejcikova vs. Maria Sakkari: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Andrey Rublev vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Raphael Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$38
Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Damir Dzumhur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Tabilobacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$87.8
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$24.07
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$88.69
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$54.41
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.73
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.96
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$48.61
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.78
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$13.77
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$8.34
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.