TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,455,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,584,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,455,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 971 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c187,822$66,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,835.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over66c125,672$82,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,822.1851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over66c96,061$63,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,977.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Over65c68,684$44,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,278.563966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under34c62,896$21,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,384.5417949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under33c50,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,400.4425038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under34c45,310$15,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,405.267345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ab…1488backed Over67c45,000$30,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,750850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under34c44,100$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,99420844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over65c30,769$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,769.2311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over65c30,769$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,769.239045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Under33c25,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.996050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under36c23,825$8,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,561.5547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under37c23,535$8,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,785.4847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over54c22,883$12,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,557.86758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over64c22,294$14,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,969.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under36c20,412$7,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,395.0148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9715950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.878325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under34c20,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.8738026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over67c19,600$13,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under37c16,575$6,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,092.7950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed Under35c16,554$5,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7942356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under37c15,469$5,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,715.1544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under34c14,999$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.7927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c12,268$8,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,226.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over66c11,696$7,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.5510057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over59c11,102$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.1717733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under35c10,876$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.161,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under36c10,568$3,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.1247442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad1…b7c0backed Over65c9,231$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.771513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under35c8,633$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.4931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over66c8,267$5,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.9120448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c8,168$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.531,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.3116947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Over66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.762962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c6,982$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under34c6,908$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.271,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over66c6,818$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.187636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under33c6,743$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.331,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over66c6,502$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.6623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Under33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98018641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04022752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.9633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed Under35c5,966$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.15250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under35c5,900$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under34c5,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Over61c5,470$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.574650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under35c5,148$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.7836250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c5,105$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.542,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…2650backed Over66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under38c5,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under38c5,000$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.987733.8%26 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under37c4,973$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.755457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over65c4,800$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over65c4,600$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6106459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over53c4,373$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.4622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c4,258$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3203,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over65c4,256$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.526550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over66c4,100$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39411354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36011246.4%52 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Over64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4408349.4%41 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce5…9ce1backed Over65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under32c3,988$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.4939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Over65c3,900$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3658847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c3,867$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Over52c3,857$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.494553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under38c3,594$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35119744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2258158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under36c3,472$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.037533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under17c3,300$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c1…6485backed Over65c3,247$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.3916947.3%80 W · 89 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under36c3,143$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.721,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under36c3,135$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.351,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.330140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5f…ce01backed Over65c3,012$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.363652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Under36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.98825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9511657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad2…9f78backed Over66c2,994$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c2,943$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Over68c2,938$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.516426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-56.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over66c2,900$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9868752.9%46 W · 41 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under37c2,737$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.651,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over65c2,735$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.387972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over55c2,676$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.119850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under35c2,605$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7410744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…07b4backed Over65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over53c2,442$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.952,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under34c2,388$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.12,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under30c2,377$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Over65c2,310$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.497648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under35c2,300$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80511445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over65c2,300$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over66c2,222$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.4817636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Under37c2,200$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80318843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over66c2,096$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.0228258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under35c2,048$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.971,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under32c2,000$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.