TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof France, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,192,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,291,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,192,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Norway69c78,988$54,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,498.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France28c72,129$19,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,289.982,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Norway76c65,789$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,000.0816947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Norway53c56,744$29,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,923.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Norway54c54,904$29,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,699.7417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c68…247abacked Norway46c41,311$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed France51c33,372$16,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,490.1626320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Norway68c33,057$22,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,433.5874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France24c26,010$6,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,855.852,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked France47c24,556$11,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,100.561,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked France54c14,761$7,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.223339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed France39c12,500$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,624.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France44c12,149$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,766.8353629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Norway53c10,886$5,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,772.981,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed France27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30015150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked France45c8,450$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.1475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked France26c8,411$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.1123942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Norway78c8,188$6,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,361.392,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France43c8,158$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed France49c8,033$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France64c7,681$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.893,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked France52c7,648$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.2758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Norway48c7,554$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed France57c7,329$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.8425753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France31c6,817$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France49c6,802$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.0436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed France45c6,455$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.5110753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked Norway46c6,321$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.039349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed France25c6,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed France17c5,882$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.3513721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked France39c5,586$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.271,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed France18c5,555$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed France45c5,430$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.3285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked France51c5,208$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.3135244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed France24c5,048$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.141,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed France33c5,000$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37510128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked France23c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked France45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.9927845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed France49c4,903$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed France58c4,826$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.9918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Norway75c4,667$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France18c4,444$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.4414428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Norway57c4,177$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.3426459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed France45c4,128$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Norway74c4,096$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.421,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked France45c4,086$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.0366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ec…d5e3backed France48c3,914$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Norway75c3,333$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Norway77c3,172$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.491,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked France17c2,793$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.954623.9%11 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Norway61c2,787$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed France57c2,600$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1181643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked France45c2,519$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.779254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Norway43c2,346$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed France45c2,229$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.421,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France60c2,167$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6720633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Norway42c2,144$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.792,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked France17c2,133$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.0543139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed France17c2,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked France25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked France54c1,851$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.3264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Norway63c1,849$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.411,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed France60c1,818$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.3625228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked France26c1,750$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29515157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed France60c1,663$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.876845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Norway79c1,645$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.7258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked France55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9913554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France45c1,515$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.011,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Norway55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9945445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Norway53c1,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Norway57c1,496$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.42119%4 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked France19c1,492$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.2214852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed France49c1,446$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.0138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed France52c1,406$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Norway20c1,365$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e0…6829backed France26c1,346$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.151741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked France35c1,258$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Norway60c1,235$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.0814132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed France49c1,230$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.6814539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Norway57c1,214$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.7218765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Norway75c1,200$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.9869534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed France49c1,162$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Norway52c1,125$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.523046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked France45c1,119$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.239053.3%48 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Norway63c1,118$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.991,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed France22c1,109$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.513,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked France59c1,102$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.694055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed France23c1,087$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.9633641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed France26c1,065$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7882240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Norway16c1,055$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3538819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed France56c1,050$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.011040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked France48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.678143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed France39c1,031$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.7779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France25c1,007$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.352,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked France25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…35aebacked Norway57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5703959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked France55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45034249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed France17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9913641.9%57 W · 79 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed France55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9912343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.