TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Norwayof France, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,554 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed France8c5,707$462 inLost-$461.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked France2c5,304$106 inLost-$106.083935.9%14 W · 25 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked France4c3,000$123 inLost-$1231,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France13c2,313$303 inLost-$302.7136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb120…3df9backed France4c2,303$99 inLost-$98.562630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked France4c1,220$50 inLost-$506918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…67ecbacked France2c1,063$21 inLost-$21.252060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France10c988.63$100 inLost-$99.552,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e01…02ddbacked France4c930.23$40 inLost-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…38aabacked France11c880.09$97 inLost-$96.813026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed France14c867.16$121 inLost-$120.851,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked France19c785.13$146 inLost-$146.181,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Norway64c555.56$356 inWon+$20013059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed France36c555.56$200 inLost-$20028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked France15c518.27$78 inLost-$77.746823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed France2c515.98$10 inLost-$10.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked France5c515$26 inLost-$26.072,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked France4c465.58$20 inLost-$2015225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed France12c430.15$50 inLost-$5022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked France16c401$62 inLost-$62.491,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed France11c358$40 inLost-$4060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France6c323.88$19 inLost-$18.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked France10c311.7$30 inLost-$30.3962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked France6c280$17 inLost-$16.7921128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc04…f59dbacked France8c240.11$19 inLost-$18.72326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7578…6426backed France23c218.82$50 inLost-$507335.6%26 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Norway68c120.82$82 inWon+$38.812,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed France12c100$12 inLost-$129428.7%27 W · 67 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Norway66c29.41$19 inWon+$1025753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.