Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56dea5d74c386429ea9e9646c56b457c38897ce83df4a122d879ab3eeab78d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 19,867$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 12c | 17,749$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.88 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 14c | 4,485$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.53 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Over | 2c | 4,361$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 3,361$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Over | 1c | 3,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…6216backed Over | 2c | 2,133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 19c | 1,693$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.7 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 4c | 1,664$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 78c | 1,308$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Under | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 15c | 939.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 9c | 909.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…ec91backed Over | 22c | 720.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 705.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 14c | 672.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 506.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 13c | 504.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 17c | 467.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Under | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 27c | 372.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Over | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…8cf0backed Over | 13c | 353.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Over | 21c | 230.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Over | 14c | 181.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 17c | 167.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…f34cbacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed Under | 78c | 128.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 13c | 124.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 80c | 119.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…411bbacked Over | 14c | 109.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…46cdbacked Under | 80c | 105.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 15c | 95.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 91.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Over | 24c | 80.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…c3a6backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Under | 78c | 48.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…e29ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…1ce7backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e21…6dccbacked Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…cf67backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…bc1cbacked Under | 78c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…90f8backed Under | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: O/U 7.5this page
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.