TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e2c…bd51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT7138%27 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$61.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$10.75
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$135
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.5
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.3
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.22
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$73.24
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$108.21
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$295.26
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,249.4%+$3,899.33
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$187.59
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$318
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$136.8
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61%+$795.79
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+346.6%+$1,184.66
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$408
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$86.4
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$77.4
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.84
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$423
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$150
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$170.07
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$603
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$98.91
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,867Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$473.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$315
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$464.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,101.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,702.27
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.15
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$190.21
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$240.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,477Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$2,536.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.01
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$907.36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$182.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,706Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$1,228.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$872.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$2,801.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$1,320.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$918.59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$18.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$2,867.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$275.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,637.25
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$207.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$82.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$1,787.04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+90%+$855.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,745.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,615.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,603.92
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$277.06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$1,370.85
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$1,254.95
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$1,944.04
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$1,892.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+68.2%+$848.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61%+$260
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114%+$273.57
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$47.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+275.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+275.2%+$54.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$36.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$38.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.