Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08d1decd83c607d5309c1ebe4aab6cb8332f9f52e6e3317d452d49ba60d662d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 7c | 11,692$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.43 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 9c | 6,940$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…1508backed Yes | 11c | 4,894$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5acbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,545$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,424$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea2…a4f7backed No | 78c | 3,325$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.58 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,131$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.01 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed No | 74c | 2,621$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…c6ebbacked Yes | 43c | 2,444$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…6703backed Yes | 7c | 2,236$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 42c | 1,973$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.09 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…5c0ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,908$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…3f6abacked Yes | 14c | 1,864$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,601$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.28 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,579$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Yes | 10c | 1,489$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 76c | 1,375$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.42 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 13c | 1,260$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…c11abacked Yes | 12c | 1,198$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 20c | 1,191$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…31cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,040$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +363.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed Yes | 31c | 939.55$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 876.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 779.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 9c | 718.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 22c | 705.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 617.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 608.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…60a4backed Yes | 11c | 501.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 21c | 484.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…d2efbacked No | 77c | 416.2$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…a0eabacked Yes | 7c | 413.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed Yes | 10c | 407.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…8795backed Yes | 9c | 400.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 368.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…a201backed Yes | 18c | 355.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 47c | 338.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…3949backed Yes | 12c | 319.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 296.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 47c | 294.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.01 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 4c | 291.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ded…fbcdbacked Yes | 36c | 270.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Yes | 38c | 262.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…6938backed Yes | 20c | 251.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 42c | 236$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 5c | 223.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 15c | 220.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…d406backed Yes | 42c | 215.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0317backed Yes | 38c | 202.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 17c | 201.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 20c | 201.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…0bc8backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…9430backed Yes | 27c | 199.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 8c | 187.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 8c | 181.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…a922backed Yes | 18c | 175.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 6c | 168.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 7c | 155.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked No | 68c | 145.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 58c | 130.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked Yes | 12c | 113.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 56c | 109.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…b46dbacked Yes | 35c | 107.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 30c | 106.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…2309backed Yes | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…a4a0backed No | 69c | 102.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…e1e0backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…4344backed Yes | 36c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 37c | 96.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 52c | 85.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…0690backed Yes | 43c | 72.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…90f3backed Yes | 34c | 71.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked No | 42c | 71.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…7199backed Yes | 21c | 70.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…d9babacked Yes | 30c | 66.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce8…ef61backed No | 56c | 59.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked No | 68c | 53.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 64c | 52.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…9693backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…a73fbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…ff51backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…4bfabacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…3005backed Yes | 42c | 49.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 46.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed No | 79c | 43.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 56c | 42.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 47c | 35.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 33.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ec11backed No | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…03cfbacked No | 68c | 28.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…71b3backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…15a3backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 66c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?this page
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.