TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x21f4…81a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
733
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT17810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Bouzkova vs Maneirobacked Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Men Brisbane: Completed Match: Matt Hulme vs Jake Delaneybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rome: Completed Match: Bhosale/Li vs Bagaric/Radisicbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Brisbane: Matt Hulme vs Joshua Charltonbacked Joshua Charlton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Granby: Rebecca Marino vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Mei Yamaguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cordenons: Juan Martin vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Danielbacked Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bastad (Doubles): Arango/Waltert vs Barnett/Lechemiabacked Barnett/Lechemia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Arevalo/Pavic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Luan: Cheuk Ying Shek vs Xinyi Nongbacked Xinyi Nong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Don Benito: Valentina Ryser vs Victoria Allenbacked Victoria Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Tokyo: Koki Matsuda vs Makoto Ochibacked Makoto Ochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Taiyo Yamanaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Laval: Liam Draxl vs Nicolas Arseneaultbacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Spencer Johnson vs Youssef Kadiri Hassanibacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF The Hague: Lea Boskovic vs Anouck Vrancken Peetersbacked Anouck Vrancken Peeters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iasi: Titouan Droguet vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT11519.1%22 W · 93 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-26.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+777.2%+$155.44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT806.3%5 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winnerbacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked EvolupeGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)backed Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie - Map 1 Winnerbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winnerbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked TheBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs The MongolZ Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked The MongolZ Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Overtake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake - Map 2 Winnerbacked Overtake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NuTorious (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked NuTorious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NuTorious - Map 2 Winnerbacked NuTorious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NuTorious - Map 1 Winnerbacked NuTorious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 1 Winnerbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)backed METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT508%4 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
OG to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
MOUZ vs Team Nemesis: Draw (1-1)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aurora to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1win to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
MOUZ to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.16
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$28.08
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$6.08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$971.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT372.7%1 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-82%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$84.98
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Dplus - Map 3 Winnerbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: CGN Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$161.81
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Çilekler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR - Map 2 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Çilekler vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FOKUS vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Twisted Saints Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: CGN Esports vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Bbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked ARETE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: FOKUS vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked X-CAST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Barça eSports vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Ghools Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$46.08
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$735
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+118.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,025.76
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 2?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 2?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$60.77
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$1,274
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 30?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$87.04
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 29?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grok 4.4 released by July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.26
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
First Blood in Game 1?backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
First Blood in Game 1?backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$45.56
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $405-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 29 above $390?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $230?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $285?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+293.7%+$58.73
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$39
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$715.51
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.4
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,728.52
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+191.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Hungary vs Estoniabacked Estonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Romania vs Gibraltarbacked Gibraltar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Norway vs Hungarybacked Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$570
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Sussexbacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Romania vs Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Belgium vs Gibraltarbacked Gibraltar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
T20 Blast, Women: Essex vs Somersetbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
T20 Blast: Durham vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$56.67
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Middlesex vs Sussex Sharksbacked Sussex Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+92.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$221.39
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$52.79
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $25B and $28B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.