Dota2 · resolved market
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd010789fdadb5810cf119ce6e3fd1452a490f5434fe3bf8a2cbd943f1351abeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yes | 54c | 5,956$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.59 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 41c | 2,347$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.11 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 46c | 1,860$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 45c | 1,782$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.83 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 65c | 575.29$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked No | 53c | 476.07$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…2463backed No | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 73c | 213.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 57c | 176.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 43c | 169.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 52c | 136.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 31c | 117.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 98.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 71c | 89.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Yes | 65c | 84.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 35c | 69.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 50c | 67.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed No | 50c | 67.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…cfafbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…1284backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 49c | 49.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 70c | 44.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked No | 57c | 43.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Yes | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…b3b4backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vici Gaming to win 2-0?this page
- Team Nemesis to win 2-0?No won
- Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.