TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe99e…0084

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
939
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT87645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 876 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$146.45
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$82.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58%+$40.62
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 876 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stagebacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.1%+$165.83
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40.91
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$258
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$82.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$34.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$73.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$116.86
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+290.2%+$232.16
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$310.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$44.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$27.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.