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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,504,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,712,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy40c344,337$138,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,381.3112159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy41c112,141$45,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,822.9818844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex59c84,138$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,138.421,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Nigma Galaxy34c78,010$26,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,337.4612460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex58c50,000$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,0001,82345.1%822 W · 1,001 L+34.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy39c40,497$15,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,948.8247646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Yandex60c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00032549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Yandex58c38,497$22,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,168.873435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed Nigma Galaxy38c33,265$12,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,674.974050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c3…bea3backed Team Yandex60c27,821$16,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,128.365459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex61c25,291$15,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,914.5124246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Yandex60c23,200$13,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,21918048.3%87 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex61c22,000$13,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,58042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy41c22,000$9,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,02030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Yandex59c21,016$12,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,652.0238145.7%174 W · 207 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Nigma Galaxy16c20,000$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11022727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex59c20,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,299.9988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Team Yandex62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Team Yandex59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.982676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0db4…89bfbacked Nigma Galaxy15c16,228$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.723732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Team Yandex64c15,972$10,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.13366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.0189741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Nigma Galaxy17c15,000$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.972040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Yandex65c14,900$9,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.1613744.5%61 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Team Yandex60c14,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Nigma Galaxy29c13,530$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.28547.1%40 W · 45 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex65c13,300$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.0380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Team Yandex75c12,435$9,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.875834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy39c11,629$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex65c11,618$7,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.5953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex60c11,500$6,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.6346664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex65c10,174$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.931,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed Team Yandex61c10,000$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.992759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Nigma Galaxy18c9,782$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.8724942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Nigma Galaxy37c9,507$3,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.77548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy35c9,485$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.269744.6%311 W · 386 L-2.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex57c9,000$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,87025446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy31c8,878$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.1348843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…aeaabacked Nigma Galaxy29c8,543$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex62c8,516$5,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.6319050.5%96 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex59c8,485$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.8748954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe760…f2f9backed Team Yandex60c8,162$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.676251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20032137.1%119 W · 202 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex75c7,615$5,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.1447650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy15c7,405$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.5430667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc8…c678backed Team Yandex58c7,210$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.231266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Yandex71c7,054$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.484656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex71c7,049$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.41,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Nigma Galaxy9c6,935$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.64402.5%1 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick13cpaid-79.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed Team Yandex60c6,539$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.665461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex61c6,500$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,53512363.4%78 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Team Yandex68c5,945$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.515572.7%40 W · 15 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex69c5,837$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.8451049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy16c5,699$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.4733453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy35c5,086$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.141944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy2c4,921$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9240014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Yandex60c4,904$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.7412858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex60c4,780$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeef…92b7backed Team Yandex59c4,700$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.3715054.7%82 W · 68 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy42c4,586$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.1665647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Team Yandex60c4,578$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.336841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2521…7f2bbacked Team Yandex58c4,509$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.231936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Yandex77c4,500$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.5720030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Yandex59c4,500$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84510540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex66c4,470$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9935960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed Team Yandex60c4,273$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Nigma Galaxy42c4,222$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.435236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nigma Galaxy40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Yandex60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60023561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Yandex59c3,951$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.8336343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Yandex70c3,804$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.8625143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7045…81b5backed Team Yandex63c3,601$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.675369.8%37 W · 16 L+9.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Nigma Galaxy42c3,581$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Nigma Galaxy42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011756.4%66 W · 51 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy29c3,529$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5612141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Nigma Galaxy35c3,514$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.7922644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Team Yandex58c3,500$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4551952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Nigma Galaxy5c3,284$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1216232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy35c3,282$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.0536150.4%182 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nigma Galaxy27c3,229$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86693746.3%434 W · 503 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy34c3,200$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08843738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Nigma Galaxy36c3,158$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.8716641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex68c3,100$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98453858.7%316 W · 222 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182b…f3d3backed Team Yandex63c3,083$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.534548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Nigma Galaxy26c3,077$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Nigma Galaxy38c3,067$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.85658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe98b…5905backed Team Yandex62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1403759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Nigma Galaxy42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9919148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Nigma Galaxy39c2,950$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.530336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Nigma Galaxy1c2,935$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Yandex60c2,875$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.1231055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Team Yandex74c2,814$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed Team Yandex71c2,800$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.816043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1860…147ebacked Team Yandex60c2,650$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.272572%18 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked Team Yandex64c2,599$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.123053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Team Yandex77c2,560$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8814657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Nigma Galaxy14c2,538$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.939339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Team Yandex60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010453.8%56 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe05…8b13backed Team Yandex60c2,478$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.495939%23 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.