TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3342…f908

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,743Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,206.15
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,149.98
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$6,242.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,229.32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,778.73
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$6,600
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,568Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$3,767.38
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,876.79
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,878Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+57%+$4,493.95
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,606.63
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$5,618.13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$581.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$3,919.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$240
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+37%+$420.48
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$229.07
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$720
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$610.83
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$310
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,649.89
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,106.06
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.8%+$384.45
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,506.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,079.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$8,400
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,480
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,320
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$3,600
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,856.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$5,600
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,042.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$673.91
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.2%+$516.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO1)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+400%+$4,000
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+156.4%+$2,439.99
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+47.1%+$319.26
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs M80 (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,220
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs RED Canids (BO1)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$516.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$240
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$396.21
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,840
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$930
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$360
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$564.1
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$560
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$63.16
All 7 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+177.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$257.49
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$515.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,599
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,449Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37.5%+$918.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$721.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$166.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.