TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FURIA, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,260,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,053,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,260,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed FUT Esports45c2,836,524$1,266,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569,784.456160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed FURIA56c600,000$336,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336,00023355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed FUT Esports38c397,028$151,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245,518.9312249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed FURIA58c150,400$87,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,296560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports45c144,422$65,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,360.413548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed FURIA65c142,857$92,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,857.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA62c128,258$79,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,922.691,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed FURIA59c123,602$73,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,256.693666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed FURIA51c115,200$58,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,472.1810747.7%51 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed FUT Esports69c104,021$71,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,746.3925255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec86…f3b0backed FURIA59c102,482$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed FURIA60c101,111$60,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,666.67454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA55c97,596$53,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,844.6520153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked FURIA38c93,097$35,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,457.7572644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed FURIA57c90,000$51,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,299.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked FURIA53c85,178$44,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,891.699565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA56c79,744$44,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,275.0319757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed FUT Esports40c64,350$26,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,342.1318624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA65c60,571$39,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,370.8322354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked FURIA64c58,602$37,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,463.142948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked FURIA54c55,496$30,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,166.361861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf2…2057backed FURIA35c50,296$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,500560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed FUT Esports58c50,227$29,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,226.588670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed FURIA56c50,005$28,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,003.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports40c48,147$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,946.6819055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA56c42,940$24,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,099.8923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports40c42,897$17,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,865.055,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked FUT Esports40c41,713$16,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,027.5714145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed FURIA42c40,772$17,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,327.4517643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked FUT Esports40c40,542$16,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,245.342552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA60c40,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,00075452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed FURIA65c37,101$24,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,115.623435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed FURIA56c36,016$20,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,214.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked FURIA60c35,000$20,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,8751844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed FURIA58c31,044$18,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,057.416152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked FURIA61c29,207$17,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,816.372060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked FURIA61c28,000$17,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,186.538964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed FURIA63c27,132$17,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,093.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FUT Esports24c26,707$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,429.5722129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed FURIA64c26,535$17,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,086.6417062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FURIA39c26,400$10,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,296.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed FURIA64c26,097$16,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,742.211030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports38c25,744$9,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,871.0867645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed FURIA63c25,446$15,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,930.2717737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed FURIA60c25,029$15,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,017.42748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked FUT Esports37c24,894$9,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,788.2723938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed FURIA38c24,750$9,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4053551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed FURIA42c23,763$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,980.47943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA55c22,259$12,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,242.6788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports39c21,042$8,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,768.2664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed FURIA32c21,000$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,65030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed FUT Esports35c20,897$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,583.254238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked FUT Esports49c18,523$9,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,367.0716142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87dd…e210backed FURIA52c17,383$9,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,087.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…e947backed FURIA61c16,857$10,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,282.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed FURIA64c16,811$10,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,800.713053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed FURIA58c16,000$9,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3201942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…1fadbacked FURIA65c15,968$10,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,379.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA61c15,555$9,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,488.5432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef4b…2577backed FUT Esports53c15,121$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA54c15,018$8,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,124.682,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked FURIA77c15,000$11,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,517.011643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked FURIA65c14,500$9,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,425757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f0…b287backed FURIA65c14,500$9,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,425714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed FUT Esports36c13,968$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,939.4820448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed FUT Esports36c13,485$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,630.3921842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FUT Esports43c13,267$5,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,588.3635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeac…32bfbacked FURIA66c13,227$8,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,729.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked FURIA60c13,072$7,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,843.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed FURIA65c13,000$8,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4504650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed FURIA58c12,940$7,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5508951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed FURIA60c11,640$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked FURIA65c11,235$7,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,302.478556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA45c11,158$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.881,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA61c11,031$6,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,748.3666551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed FURIA55c11,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,050825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports36c11,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,04055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…4675backed FURIA53c10,998$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,863.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports39c10,898$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.352,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA47c10,607$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.1642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports54c10,548$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,813.6264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA61c10,131$6,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,16748350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed FUT Esports56c10,121$5,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498.9510056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed FUT Esports49c10,014$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,084.6221855.5%121 W · 97 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked FURIA65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed FURIA58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8003250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40075350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x047f…bf3abacked FURIA72c9,850$7,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,108.081833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7210…bcebbacked FUT Esports46c9,751$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked FUT Esports39c9,666$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,916.2413315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked FUT Esports40c9,600$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,74036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked FURIA49c9,460$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.983023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed FURIA66c9,100$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0201020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed FURIA40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.999047.8%43 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed FURIA55c9,000$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked FURIA42c8,860$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.624943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd789…3059backed FURIA65c8,667$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4002…b012backed FURIA64c8,436$5,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed FUT Esports36c8,430$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,395.361723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.