TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FURIA, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports67c37,609$25,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,349.0219055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA33c17,229$5,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,685.6136152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports67c10,373$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.395,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed FURIA32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92032844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed FURIA33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed FURIA32c4,782$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.7814545.5%66 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports66c4,744$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.811,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed FURIA33c4,700$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.9917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed FURIA33c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48515838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports67c4,440$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.2650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked FUT Esports68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.847055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3286…f318backed FURIA34c4,069$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed FURIA34c3,977$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.752142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked FURIA33c3,704$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.316147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports69c3,655$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.552,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked FURIA35c2,502$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.5924746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked FUT Esports67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.815658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked FUT Esports77c2,039$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9516142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA31c1,712$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.661,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed FURIA29c1,614$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df9…0965backed FURIA32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed FURIA33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed FURIA32c1,462$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports69c1,223$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.051,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed FURIA30c1,006$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked FURIA30c939.07$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7225042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4d…4f37backed FUT Esports67c880.6$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.62669.2%18 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked FURIA30c832.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked FUT Esports63c804.63$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.712552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed FUT Esports62c673.34$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed FURIA30c599.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.991,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed FUT Esports67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked FURIA35c592.19$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.983256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FUT Esports68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2459755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.242,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA36c499.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.639548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA35c499.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2357641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked FURIA33c499.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.333253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA26c489.52$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.532,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed FUT Esports67c457.67$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.037163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed FURIA33c454$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8212551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed FUT Esports66c300.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7731761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked FUT Esports67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.514955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked FURIA34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec9…1e0cbacked FURIA34c285.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked FUT Esports76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1620755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA29c256.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.542,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FURIA33c255.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4727753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked FUT Esports67c216.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4217764.4%114 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked FURIA26c208.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.921,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…570bbacked FUT Esports71c175.76$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7615557.4%89 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA36c165.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked FUT Esports63c161.53$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7740655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked FUT Esports64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.613240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed FURIA30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e6…71e4backed FUT Esports67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked FURIA30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed FUT Esports67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked FURIA34c148$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.276858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed FURIA32c148$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3610036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked FUT Esports67c147.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5165662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked FURIA33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.24252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked FURIA36c138$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6814335%50 W · 93 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed FURIA37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked FURIA37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked FURIA27c127.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8337922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked FURIA37c126.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.684228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.239338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked FUT Esports69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6515732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed FURIA37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed FURIA38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed FUT Esports67c101.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.494151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed FURIA27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522954.6%125 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a1…3835backed FURIA34c83.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA33c82.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.021,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed FURIA33c82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0620755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed FUT Esports67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7532554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd85f…f2f6backed FUT Esports69c71.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb2…f33bbacked FUT Esports70c70.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FURIA30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FURIA31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.649536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed FUT Esports67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.726650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b4…7e45backed FURIA34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports70c54.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed FUT Esports77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.533869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FUT Esports78c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.168659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked FUT Esports64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8816660.8%101 W · 65 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed FUT Esports67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA32c44.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed FUT Esports68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1223963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b66…582fbacked FURIA37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed FUT Esports68c40.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.997660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…45ecbacked FUT Esports78c39.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed FUT Esports66c37.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8842274.2%313 W · 109 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed FURIA31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked FUT Esports77c36.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4915469.5%107 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked FUT Esports67c36.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.118662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed FURIA28c35.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0135054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed FUT Esports75c34.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.