TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0df9…0965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$489.6
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$201.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$240.56
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,008
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,020.5
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$79.91
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$219.1
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Marsborne (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.95
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$427.5
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)backed DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.78
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.15
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Shark Attack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.53
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,049.6
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.6
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.6
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$272.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.37
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.3
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$51.86
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$129.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+160.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,019.23
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$205.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$275
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$273.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$264
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: NO (-3.5)backed NO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.