UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e79daf0e7c8966c308874c5722da6fedaa2ad4f2becbdf1597039304ffcfc5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 43c | 32,374$13,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,461.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 59c | 22,872$13,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,579 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 41c | 22,518$9,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,383.33 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 58c | 21,003$12,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,182 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 59c | 14,432$8,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Under | 41c | 14,432$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,515 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 43c | 13,246$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,570.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 57c | 11,052$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.6 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Over | 55c | 9,782$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.88 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 59c | 6,508$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Under | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked Over | 54c | 1,982$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over | 58c | 1,892$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Under | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Over | 6c | 1,558$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 1,259$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.51 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 58c | 1,009$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Under | 43c | 809.12$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 754.25$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.05 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 42c | 746.26$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Over | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Under | 46c | 654.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 42c | 598.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Over | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Under | 43c | 464.38$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked Under | 43c | 448.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 59c | 423$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Over | 57c | 344.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…cfffbacked Under | 39c | 288.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 276$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Over | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afd…3d48backed Over | 56c | 197.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Over | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Over | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Under | 40c | 168.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Under | 40c | 167.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Over | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 57c | 162.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…fc99backed Over | 56c | 156$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 141$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…0a9cbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 44c | 112$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…4324backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Over | 57c | 92.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…ccc3backed Over | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 58c | 84.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 58c | 81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Over | 64c | 80.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 42c | 78.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Over | 61c | 76.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8acb…6701backed Under | 44c | 73.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 59c | 67.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +5.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Under | 39c | 42.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Over | 60c | 38.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 40c | 38.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Over | 48c | 37.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4f…7530backed Under | 47c | 34.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…53d5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed Over | 56c | 31.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 30.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Under | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Under | 43c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…1256backed Under | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e5…7b44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 58c | 24.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Over | 58c | 19.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)Esteban Ribovics won
- Will Esteban Ribovics win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.