TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7bb…1b01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$69.2
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$259.8
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.23
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Lucas Fernando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$19.53
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.12
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Fatima Kline · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.85
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bryce Miller: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$168.27
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$268.67
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+136.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.