MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe741bae99fc9da13f2b1dd8591f92dfff369e79f7a0a48f8a4dc3b26afc0c0f4

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $769,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $837,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed Pittsburgh Pirates	0c	174,007$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.21	406	29.1%118 W · 288 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals	59c	90,000$53,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,899.97	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	65,141$26,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,828.82	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates	26c	45,037$11,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,831.11	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	74c	43,460$32,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,427.91	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals	59c	40,833$23,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,920.04	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	16c	28,664$4,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,545	109	13.8%15 W · 94 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	24,390$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	22,311$9,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,593.73	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	65c	21,232$13,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,414.97	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	18,086$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates	25c	14,329$3,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,614.28	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Washington Nationals	57c	12,500$7,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,374.98	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals	56c	12,500$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,499.9	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals	58c	12,083$7,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,074.76	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	11,676$4,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,787.16	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	42c	9,232$3,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,866.62	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals	78c	8,470$6,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,824.67	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	8,079$3,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,487.97	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals	66c	7,297$4,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,447.76	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals	57c	6,393$3,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,771.39	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	13c	5,799$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.6	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates	42c	5,695$2,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.01	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates	42c	5,167$2,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.74	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Washington Nationals	59c	5,100$3,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,091	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Washington Nationals	59c	5,085$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,084.75	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates	4c	4,880$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.63	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	4,414$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.15	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	4,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pittsburgh Pirates	36c	4,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates	50c	3,925$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,956.36	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates	0c	3,750$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	3,554$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,563.89	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Pittsburgh Pirates	33c	3,500$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.99	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates	1c	3,112$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals	53c	3,086$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,435.66	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals	59c	3,051$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.85	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates	34c	2,940$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.15	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates	46c	2,667$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.54	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Washington Nationals	58c	2,500$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	3c	2,400$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	174	17.2%30 W · 144 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals	67c	2,219$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.41	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals	59c	2,118$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.38	204	55.9%114 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	42c	2,048$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.92	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	2,045$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	1,931$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.32	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Washington Nationals	60c	1,652$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.94	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Pittsburgh Pirates	12c	1,483$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.82	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+26.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates	42c	1,340$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.8	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	1,273$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.12	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	61c	1,260$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.14	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Washington Nationals	57c	1,228$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.07	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	1,095$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	5c	1,050$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	266	18.4%49 W · 217 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Pittsburgh Pirates	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+8.4wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	290	46.6%135 W · 155 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Washington Nationals	55c	999.99$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates	26c	988.17$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.71	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Washington Nationals	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	321	57%183 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals	60c	833.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	281	52%146 W · 135 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	816.19$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.12	259	50.2%130 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	800$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals	71c	793.55$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.16	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	32c	782$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Pittsburgh Pirates	9c	779.14$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.12	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates	42c	691.61$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.31	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals	58c	639.39$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.62	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	633.44$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.71	280	45.7%128 W · 152 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	77c	591.06$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.19	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals	58c	586.21$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.21	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals	57c	584.79$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.46	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals	58c	575.94$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.89	375	46.9%176 W · 199 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Pittsburgh Pirates	21c	537.2$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.89	87	29.9%26 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Washington Nationals	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Washington Nationals	58c	512.86$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.86	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	512.75$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.61	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals	60c	501.06$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.89	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	492.8$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.83	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	487$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.67	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Washington Nationals	72c	480$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.66	801	59.2%474 W · 327 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals	78c	467.85$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.84	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals	57c	455.03$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.71	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	61c	444.1$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.52	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates	18c	432.94$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.85	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Washington Nationals	58c	431.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.03	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Washington Nationals	59c	423.73$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.73	179	52.5%94 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pittsburgh Pirates	14c	421.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.48	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Washington Nationals	59c	416.95$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.95	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates	3c	413.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	384.96$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.48	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates	43c	364.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.15	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	362.95$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Pittsburgh Pirates	41c	344.23$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.99	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7bb…1b01backed Washington Nationals	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Pittsburgh Pirates	44c	337.98$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event