MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77cc5880f49f1541e230506330a7410266916b2c461f4808f44d5b8d962c84e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 271,955$132,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,274.34 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 170,000$86,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,300 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 40,365$19,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,077.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 17,385$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,170.89 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 6,863$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 5,937$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 5,512$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 4,727$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.18 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Under | 48c | 4,553$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 4,032$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 2,949$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.71 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,915$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 2,298$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.02 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 28c | 2,210$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.46 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 2,181$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.32 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 2c | 2,118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 28c | 2,071$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.43 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,772$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.03 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 62c | 1,607$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,558$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 7c | 1,012$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 52c | 896.48$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.31 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 680$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 71c | 663.53$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.11 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 605.93$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 4c | 580$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 6cpaid | +507.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Over | 55c | 504.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 494$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 467.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 66c | 367.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 46c | 345.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 345.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 335.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 53c | 327.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 49c | 310.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 299$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 276$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 265.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 235.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 73c | 174.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 51c | 174$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 52c | 172.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 53c | 169.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 160.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 134.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 51c | 133.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 66c | 130.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 126.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 93.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 52c | 92.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 60c | 86.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 51c | 84.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 54c | 84.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 48c | 83.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 37c | 82.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Over | 51c | 82.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 51c | 77.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…f991backed Over | 43c | 64.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 55c | 63.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 50c | 62.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 59.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 50c | 52.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 53c | 51.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 53c | 51.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Over | 51c | 47.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 52c | 42.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Over | 38c | 41.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.