TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc365…2e53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,730
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: WNBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 1,607 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,752
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,676
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$27.05
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$43.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$65.57
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+170%+$156.98
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,490.76
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.21
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,501.99
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,448.67
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$10.72
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.7
Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$52.33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$20.61
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$4,407.63
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.58
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$204.59
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$170.17
Showing 25 of 1,607 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT12165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
WNBA — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$111.89
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.16
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,958.91
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.01
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324.4
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,612.41
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,972.62
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.9
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+159%+$168.2
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.88
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-8.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.16
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$3,450.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$2,463.22
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$1,080.05
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,259.11
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$1,706.94
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,819.68
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.84
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.46
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,174
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$4,109.41
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,402
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.