Spread: Germany (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3c530b790e9477a068cb64c8d9a7222b91f164aa055176bd2b19abd299e820

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof Germany, Paraguay
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,827,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,749,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,827,301 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb61b…8a06backed Paraguay	53c	399,999$212,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187,999.7	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Paraguay	53c	395,735$210,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185,213.27	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Paraguay	51c	360,210$183,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176,503.01	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Germany	47c	336,022$157,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157,930.47	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Paraguay	52c	331,128$172,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158,941.58	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Paraguay	51c	250,004$127,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122,502.18	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	47c	226,767$106,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106,786.45	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Germany	49c	214,734$105,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105,219.59	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	42c	202,996$86,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,183.36	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Paraguay	53c	200,000$106,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,999.86	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	48c	188,798$90,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,555.37	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Paraguay	52c	178,748$92,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,799.08	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Germany	48c	162,306$77,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,906.88	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Germany	48c	150,000$72,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,500	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Germany	48c	137,000$65,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,760	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Paraguay	52c	115,662$60,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,076.83	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Paraguay	53c	114,533$60,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,685.18	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Germany	1c	112,655$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Paraguay	53c	104,898$55,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,086.12	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Paraguay	52c	83,332$43,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,999.29	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed Paraguay	52c	80,000$41,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,399.87	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	45c	66,880$30,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,051.1	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Germany	48c	61,403$29,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,462.66	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Paraguay	53c	61,250$32,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,088	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Paraguay	53c	61,180$32,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,055.07	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Germany	49c	61,000$29,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,890	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Germany	46c	58,783$27,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,039.98	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Germany	12c	56,096$6,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,784.48	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Germany	15c	52,708$7,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,906.27	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Paraguay	51c	52,555$26,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,751.95	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Germany	49c	51,020$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Paraguay	52c	50,000$26,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,000	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Paraguay	54c	50,000$27,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,999.91	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Germany	47c	48,385$22,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,748.45	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Germany	46c	46,107$21,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,349.87	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Germany	39c	45,248$17,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,500.32	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Germany	49c	45,000$22,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,050	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Paraguay	52c	42,031$21,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,174.85	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Germany	47c	41,349$19,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,433.93	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Germany	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,200	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Germany	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,600	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Paraguay	52c	39,641$20,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,894.75	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Germany	47c	38,680$18,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,179.46	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Germany	48c	38,000$18,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,239.99	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Germany	48c	37,500$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,000	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Paraguay	52c	32,827$17,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,713.89	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Germany	48c	32,219$15,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,465.11	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Germany	46c	30,751$14,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,145.42	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Paraguay	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,700	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Germany	47c	29,719$13,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,967.78	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	48c	25,500$12,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,240	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Germany	22c	25,000$5,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,426.17	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Paraguay	52c	24,176$12,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,603.78	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Paraguay	52c	23,077$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,076.92	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Germany	47c	21,136$9,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,933.95	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Germany	47c	20,389$9,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,547.16	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7e…9056backed Germany	48c	20,366$9,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,775.87	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Paraguay	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,599.99	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Paraguay	51c	19,600$9,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,652.24	135	43%58 W · 77 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Paraguay	52c	19,231$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,230.77	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Germany	48c	19,000$9,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,120	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Germany	47c	18,533$8,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,685.23	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Paraguay	54c	18,519$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,518.52	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Paraguay	54c	16,100$8,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,405.99	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Germany	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Germany	26c	14,419$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,815.24	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Germany	47c	14,059$6,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,607.67	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Paraguay	53c	13,474$7,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,332.56	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Germany	48c	13,115$6,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,295.31	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Paraguay	53c	13,072$6,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,175.66	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Germany	49c	13,000$6,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,370	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Germany	46c	12,984$5,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,958.04	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Paraguay	52c	12,815$6,657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,157.8	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Germany	47c	12,454$5,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,901.56	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	68c	12,289$8,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,905.72	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Paraguay	53c	12,016$6,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,605.5	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Germany	47c	12,000$5,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,640	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Paraguay	51c	11,813$6,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,788.24	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Paraguay	51c	11,720$5,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,799.45	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Paraguay	53c	11,691$6,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,494.95	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Germany	42c	11,649$4,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,943	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Germany	47c	11,460$5,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,386.2	388	17.5%68 W · 320 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Germany	31c	10,957$3,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,424.48	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Germany	31c	10,918$3,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,358.45	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Germany	48c	10,500$5,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,040	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Germany	0c	10,466$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.27	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Germany	48c	10,420$5,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,001.6	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7f…694abacked Germany	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Germany	47c	10,049$4,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,685.13	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Germany	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Paraguay	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Germany	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Germany	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Germany	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Germany	32c	10,000$3,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,225.9	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-61%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Germany	47c	9,974$4,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,687.71	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Germany	49c	9,636$4,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,721.79	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Germany	49c	9,594$4,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,671.64	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Paraguay	52c	9,546$4,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,628.19	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Paraguay	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,433.98	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event