Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f909b58ef301e8f913a7ee3b7e86bfd8ea198dc9da71cf2c576599cac0b492

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $229,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $272,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,840 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over	13c	15,824$2,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,027.09	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	12c	6,856$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.87	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Over	20c	6,311$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.58	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	6c	6,041$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.26	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over	14c	5,170$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.9	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.93	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	9c	3,967$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.38	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	12c	2,345$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.92	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	18c	2,222$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	8c	1,944$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.89	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	11c	1,878$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over	18c	1,650$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	87	23%20 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a9…f6c0backed Over	3c	1,482$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.71	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	34cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over	6c	1,300$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over	15c	1,100$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	12c	935.2$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.36	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over	19c	720.16$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.83	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Over	2c	695.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	174	32.8%57 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…3ad7backed Over	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	140	24.3%34 W · 106 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	17c	551.62$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.77	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over	18c	477.78$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	194	42.3%82 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	10c	401$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	18c	400$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	11c	345.22$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.23	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	10c	300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x496b…f9c6backed Over	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over	9c	271.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.48	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over	19c	246.84$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over	10c	236.59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	17c	230$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.1	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Over	17c	175.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	128	18%23 W · 105 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over	18c	153.02$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	13c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	11c	148$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.97	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Over	12c	148$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over	11c	138.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…c090backed Over	18c	133.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Over	17c	130$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	200	14.5%29 W · 171 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked Over	8c	127.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e6…dc9bbacked Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd091…4226backed Over	15c	122.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Over	19c	121.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	12c	120$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	91	29.7%27 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…1e98backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x074a…f8a3backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	19.2%25 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	18c	100.12$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Over	10c	100.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6434…72b6backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a3…1c2dbacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fd…b571backed Over	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Over	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	17c	87.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Over	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x102a…df8ebacked Over	18c	81.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	60	40%24 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	18c	78.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2a…2d72backed Over	19c	77.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over	15c	70$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Over	18c	63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb9…901bbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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