Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedee2e9c12880879682adebd99c43fb2021200fc64b989ba1b3595a4ffe170a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.26 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 45c | 6,733$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.63 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 55c | 6,718$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.9 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 44c | 5,715$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.62 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 5,544$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked No | 61c | 4,342$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.25 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 55c | 4,102$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.29 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 62c | 3,552$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.06 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…8316backed Yes | 54c | 3,498$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.23 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…409fbacked No | 52c | 3,400$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.97 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked No | 60c | 3,331$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 46c | 3,174$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked No | 45c | 3,120$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.8 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,901$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed No | 47c | 2,793$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.78 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked No | 54c | 2,676$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.99 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…ce1fbacked No | 28c | 2,663$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.71 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 2,335$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.82 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,270$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.86 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 35c | 2,076$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.05 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,756$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.56 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…c20bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,701$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.16 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 47c | 1,600$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes | 58c | 1,563$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.75 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…4164backed Yes | 63c | 1,561$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…0824backed Yes | 71c | 1,404$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed No | 54c | 1,120$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed No | 64c | 1,114$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.06 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 52c | 1,059$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.55 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 9c | 1,058$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked No | 26c | 936.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.41 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…57e7backed Yes | 30c | 920.14$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked No | 6c | 912.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed No | 55c | 911.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes | 38c | 906.48$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.02 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 6c | 899.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…c2b8backed Yes | 56c | 886.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…2713backed Yes | 60c | 871.5$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.12 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked No | 62c | 847.74$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.15 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…baf6backed Yes | 47c | 805.27$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 53c | 804.59$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.1 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…87d9backed Yes | 47c | 802.76$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.76 | 111 | 64.9%72 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed No | 55c | 799.97$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked No | 49c | 761.74$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.24 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked No | 50c | 755.98$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.19 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked No | 53c | 755.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 52c | 699.97$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…734bbacked Yes | 50c | 699.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.09 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 45c | 669.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.11 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 45c | 645.08$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Yes | 49c | 617.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Yes | 65c | 617.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3d13backed Yes | 49c | 612.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.43 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yes | 48c | 608.75$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.79 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed No | 49c | 599.27$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 72c | 595.05$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 594.49$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed No | 69c | 576.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…1b0bbacked No | 9c | 571.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 42c | 570.17$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…45f7backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…92f8backed No | 77c | 545.89$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked No | 56c | 539.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…0ce6backed Yes | 60c | 538.88$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 42c | 500$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…d3d2backed Yes | 57c | 499.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed No | 62c | 489.43$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.51 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 32c | 479.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed No | 49c | 466.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a0…2dcbbacked Yes | 45c | 442.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.68 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 46c | 429.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 48c | 416.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Yes | 44c | 415.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 49c | 408.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…0b5dbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…27b6backed No | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 60c | 399.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 50c | 398.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 8c | 395.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.63 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed No | 59c | 388.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 45c | 366.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 40c | 351$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 34c | 350.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.93 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…ecf5backed Yes | 60c | 334.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed Yes | 60c | 328.83$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…db69backed No | 61c | 327.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Yes | 42c | 300.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.