Spread: Germany (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609e55cfad2bea2c42ab7f2524cd23a532d418a4cb55ef53312ca362d8048f7e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof Germany, Paraguay
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $538,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $547,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	75c	245,017$184,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,294.78	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	2c	50,191$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.43	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	24c	49,936$11,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,864.48	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Germany	26c	29,260$7,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,606.75	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Germany	28c	28,445$7,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,964.66	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Germany	26c	20,769$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Germany	26c	15,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Germany	26c	13,421$3,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,489.46	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Paraguay	74c	12,247$9,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,215.62	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Germany	25c	12,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paraguay	74c	10,864$8,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,855.41	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Germany	29c	10,388$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Germany	12c	10,189$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.23	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Germany	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Germany	28c	8,954$2,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507.14	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Paraguay	73c	7,757$5,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,088.79	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Germany	26c	7,692$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Germany	27c	7,407$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Paraguay	72c	7,200$5,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Paraguay	72c	6,944$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.44	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Germany	3c	6,746$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.53	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Paraguay	74c	6,047$4,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,586.18	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Paraguay	74c	6,000$4,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.99	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Germany	26c	5,823$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.09	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Paraguay	74c	5,805$4,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.3	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paraguay	75c	5,470$4,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,371.24	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Germany	6c	5,029$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Germany	13c	5,004$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	220	32.3%71 W · 149 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Paraguay	73c	5,000$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Germany	26c	4,545$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.67	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Germany	25c	4,203$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.79	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	26c	4,062$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,044.14	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Germany	23c	3,820$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Germany	5c	3,555$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.77	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Germany	28c	3,500$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.99	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Germany	16c	3,061$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.57	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Paraguay	71c	3,000$2,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Germany	27c	2,951$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.77	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Paraguay	75c	2,604$1,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.05	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Paraguay	73c	2,407$1,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.98	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Germany	26c	2,279$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.58	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Paraguay	71c	2,103$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.96	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Germany	10c	2,096$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Germany	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Germany	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…9224backed Germany	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.98	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Germany	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Germany	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Germany	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Germany	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Germany	26c	1,735$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Germany	26c	1,731$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Paraguay	76c	1,711$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.53	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…513abacked Germany	26c	1,700$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Germany	25c	1,685$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.08	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Germany	26c	1,646$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.01	210	44.3%93 W · 117 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Germany	6c	1,591$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.65	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Germany	25c	1,566$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.5	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Germany	26c	1,504$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Germany	3c	1,471$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Paraguay	74c	1,346$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.43	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Germany	11c	1,318$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.9	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Paraguay	74c	1,250$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.74	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Paraguay	74c	1,250$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.18	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Germany	25c	1,200$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Paraguay	75c	1,182$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.5	138	60.9%84 W · 54 L	+10.7wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Germany	27c	1,181$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.82	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Germany	26c	1,178$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.36	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Germany	26c	1,171$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.52	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Paraguay	76c	1,111$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.64	97	70.1%68 W · 29 L	+12.0wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Germany	4c	1,100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Paraguay	74c	1,100$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Germany	25c	1,100$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	268	36.9%99 W · 169 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Paraguay	74c	1,086$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.89	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Germany	27c	1,013$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.47	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Germany	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Germany	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Paraguay	71c	999.99$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Paraguay	74c	999.97$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.99	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Paraguay	74c	999.96$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.99	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Germany	26c	973.65$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.63	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x121c…395abacked Germany	26c	967.46$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.54	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Germany	22c	871.86$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.81	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Germany	6c	852.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Paraguay	74c	829.37$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.39	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Germany	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Germany	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Paraguay	78c	775.68$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.47	248	43.1%107 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Germany	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Germany	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Germany	26c	761.54$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	332	45.5%151 W · 181 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…ea38backed Germany	26c	746.15$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Germany	28c	740$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.2	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Paraguay	71c	704$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.16	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Germany	9c	682.49$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Germany	26c	663.08$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.4	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Paraguay	74c	639.01$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.14	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Paraguay	76c	628.78$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.42	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Germany	5c	624.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Paraguay	74c	604.27$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.11	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event