TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb29…9224

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$867
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,049.99
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,079.93
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$616
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$624
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$449.99
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$450
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$450
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+217.5%+$2,054.99
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$680
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,130
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.95
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,530.54
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,095
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.98
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$855
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$383.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$980
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,400
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+93.3%+$1,030.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.