UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ffdf59214879c382fb96742c30fe3bfecd6c9793dc8bdc45e1a52136a45915c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rowstonof Brundage, Rowston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $800,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,057,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $800,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Brundage | 23c | 130,000$29,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,899.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rowston | 77c | 110,672$84,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,787.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Brundage | 24c | 100,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Rowston | 77c | 75,201$57,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,296.13 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Brundage | 23c | 65,143$15,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,290.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Rowston | 76c | 59,630$45,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,311.29 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Rowston | 78c | 45,777$35,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,092.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rowston | 77c | 44,942$34,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,336.66 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Brundage | 23c | 33,800$7,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,774 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rowston | 76c | 21,815$16,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.61 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Brundage | 24c | 18,697$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.52 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Rowston | 77c | 13,860$10,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.8 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Rowston | 77c | 12,760$9,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Brundage | 23c | 11,057$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.16 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Brundage | 22c | 10,456$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.36 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Rowston | 77c | 10,321$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.3 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Rowston | 77c | 10,097$7,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.4 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Brundage | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rowston | 76c | 9,560$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Brundage | 21c | 8,650$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brundage | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Rowston | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rowston | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Brundage | 19c | 4,592$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.02 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rowston | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rowston | 76c | 3,752$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.07 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Rowston | 78c | 3,374$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Brundage | 24c | 3,351$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.24 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brundage | 24c | 3,067$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.54 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Brundage | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0113backed Rowston | 76c | 2,885$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Brundage | 27c | 2,688$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Brundage | 24c | 2,500$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.45 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Brundage | 27c | 2,380$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rowston | 77c | 2,220$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.6 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Brundage | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Brundage | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Brundage | 27c | 1,874$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Rowston | 73c | 1,823$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Rowston | 77c | 1,714$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rowston | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Rowston | 76c | 1,518$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Rowston | 77c | 1,401$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.3 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Rowston | 77c | 1,333$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brundage | 23c | 1,327$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Rowston | 76c | 1,314$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Brundage | 32c | 1,304$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rowston | 78c | 1,212$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Rowston | 77c | 1,125$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brundage | 21c | 1,091$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Brundage | 24c | 1,040$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.19 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Rowston | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Rowston | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Rowston | 78c | 996.15$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Rowston | 78c | 926.18$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Brundage | 1c | 900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…5c8dbacked Brundage | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…f14cbacked Rowston | 78c | 790.73$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Rowston | 78c | 776.46$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Brundage | 21c | 774.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rowston | 69c | 744.03$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Brundage | 23c | 699.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brundage | 23c | 672.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Brundage | 23c | 646.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Rowston | 77c | 646.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Rowston | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Rowston | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Brundage | 22c | 550.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Rowston | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…89ccbacked Brundage | 33c | 522.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Brundage | 18c | 503.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Brundage | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Rowston | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Rowston | 73c | 475.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Rowston | 78c | 440.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Rowston | 75c | 437$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…ce81backed Brundage | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Brundage | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Rowston | 78c | 408.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rowston | 74c | 404.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rowston | 75c | 403$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…dd08backed Brundage | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Rowston | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed Brundage | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Brundage | 23c | 390$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Rowston | 77c | 389.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Brundage | 23c | 377.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Brundage | 26c | 376.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Brundage | 22c | 360$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…5d4dbacked Brundage | 10c | 353.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Brundage | 23c | 341$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Rowston | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Rowston | 76c | 329.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Rowston | 77c | 314.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Brundage | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Brundage | 27c | 304.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Rowston | 70c | 295.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Rowston | 68c | 294.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Rowston | 65c | 294.73$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Brundage | 31c | 286.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Cam Rowston win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Cody Brundage win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.