TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe622…ea5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
901
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT37142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 371 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.26
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$491.15
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.61
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.39
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.62
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.32
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.06
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.04
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$142.14
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.6
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.83
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.55
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$495.54
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$267.35
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.84
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.31
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$499.81
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$245.58
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.4
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.6
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$499.11
Showing 25 of 371 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT22544.4%100 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 225 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,099.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.67
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$756.79
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$792
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,020
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.99
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,054
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$299
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$960
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$892.99
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$322
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$608
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.99
Showing 25 of 225 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT22352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,763.8
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$531
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$423
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.2
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.2
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.7
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.5
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$525.2
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.6
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.5
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.8
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$480
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$423.2
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$486
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$492
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$486
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$396
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.2
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$472
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$216
Miami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$490.05
Miami Open: Lilli Tagger vs Ella Seidelbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$315.47
Miami Open: Marcos Giron vs Martin Landalucebacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.98
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.48
Miami Open: James Duckworth vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$361.2
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.5
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.5
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$165
BNP Paribas Open: Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$427.8
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$487.62
BNP Paribas Open: Quentin Halys vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$623.7
BNP Paribas Open: Mariano Navone vs Marcos Gironbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$165.17
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Dino Prizmicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$423
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Kayla Daybacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.3
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Alexa Grasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$648.9
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$513
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.3
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$328.5
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$396.5
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$110.7
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.1
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Morono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$103.82
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Moura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$218.4
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$297.6
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.09
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$129
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+194.1%+$297
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$149.6
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59.2
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51.99
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53.04
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$1,006.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.