NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62bdcf2c77eb7999aacb11476ed87fb96e8a8467d1bf09dec5d65b4ee0529c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 589 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 39c | 42,616$16,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,850.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lightning | 60c | 35,250$21,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,150.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 60c | 26,027$15,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,615.96 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 61c | 17,879$10,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,908.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 10c | 17,459$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lightning | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.95 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd9…6182backed Lightning | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lightning | 60c | 9,657$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.31 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Lightning | 60c | 8,300$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lightning | 61c | 7,740$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.4 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 60c | 7,636$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.4 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 61c | 7,493$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Canadiens | 40c | 5,950$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 40c | 5,027$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Canadiens | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lightning | 1c | 4,550$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Canadiens | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lightning | 55c | 4,439$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.49 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Canadiens | 39c | 4,426$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.98 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 60c | 4,335$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Lightning | 61c | 4,290$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens | 40c | 4,215$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.9 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 29c | 4,041$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.05 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 60c | 3,947$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 69c | 3,760$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lightning | 60c | 3,699$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.4 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Lightning | 1c | 3,607$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Canadiens | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 1c | 3,260$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lightning | 60c | 3,181$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 60c | 2,527$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.15 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Canadiens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lightning | 60c | 2,239$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.61 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 40c | 2,081$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.63 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Lightning | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Lightning | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Lightning | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,639$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.78 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,518$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.05 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lightning | 8c | 1,511$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Lightning | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lightning | 60c | 1,448$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.98 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Canadiens | 42c | 1,357$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.22 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Canadiens | 78c | 1,305$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Canadiens | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lightning | 36c | 1,238$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.34 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Lightning | 55c | 1,100$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Canadiens | 40c | 1,088$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Canadiens | 40c | 1,005$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Lightning | 59c | 975.53$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.56 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lightning | 34c | 925$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.43 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…f2b4backed Canadiens | 40c | 912.78$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lightning | 36c | 911.07$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.45 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lightning | 33c | 858.05$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.58 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 43c | 821.73$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Canadiens | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Canadiens | 64c | 798.54$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.6 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Canadiens | 40c | 797.2$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.2 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lightning | 49c | 768.46$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.87 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 32c | 710.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 40c | 700$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Lightning | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Canadiens | 48c | 671.74$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.82 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Lightning | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Canadiens | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Lightning | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 59c | 568.12$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.82 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Canadiens | 59c | 554.58$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.61 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Canadiens | 41c | 539.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.2 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lightning | 61c | 533$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Canadiens | 41c | 510.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.06 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lightning | 37c | 508.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Canadiens | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Lightning | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Canadiens | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Canadiens | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Lightning | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Lightning | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 72c | 495.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Canadiens | 40c | 442.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lightning | 60c | 439$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Lightning | 23c | 420.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Canadiens | 40c | 410.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.44 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…dc5dbacked Canadiens | 40c | 408.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.13 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Lightningthis page
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.