TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ff8…8a76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
336
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT13751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$697
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,650
James Harden: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$683.4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$74.35
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.27
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.17
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$90.5
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$885
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.6
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT6245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$486.53
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.99
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$516.75
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,050
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$920
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.52
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$373.01
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,164
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.04
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$414.98
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,004.41
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.53
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,819.99
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$203.08
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$734.92
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.98
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$382.5
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.97
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,662.8
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.98
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472.28
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,851.66
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$675
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,560
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,199.83
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$432
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$114.8
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.56
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.28
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.98
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$654
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$287
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.44
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.48
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$220.48
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.08
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$195.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$728
Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$226.92
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.62
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.44
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.33
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.34
Madrid Open: Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boissonbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$95.98
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.2
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$170.03
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$161.84
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$485
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.5
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,983Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,904.76
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,589Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$587.7
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,478.55
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,982.61
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,985Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$977.45
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$445.91
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.47
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.23
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$751.71
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$200.31
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.99
Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)backed Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$197.99
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.98
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Magomed Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$597.86
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,950
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$130.95
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.69
All 7 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+89%+$667.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$569.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$225.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.